Eredivisie · 2025Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeDe Grolsch VesteFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC TwenteSC Telstar
Shots27 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals1.71 xG/match0.61 xG/match
Possession66%34%
Corners10 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Soufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Pröpper · FC Twente · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuud Nijstad · FC Twente · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMats Rots · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Pröpper · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Hamdaoui · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArno Verschueren · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSam Lammers · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 58′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 6′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 43′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 73′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 39′ · 0.13 xG · on targetStav Lemkin · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 27 shots, 7 on target, 1.70 xG. SC Telstar: 6 shots, 0 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 1.70 xG · SC Telstar 0.57 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: SC Telstar's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.9 shots/matchShotsFC Twente · SC Telstar14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteSC TelstarBaseline
Shots17.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match16.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SC Telstar have a visible away split

moderate

SC Telstar's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14.2 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.6%PossessionFC Twente · SC Telstar44%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteSC TelstarBaseline
Possession55.6%44%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Twente favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · SC Telstar in 1 · 3 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/121.17 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/121.75 goals/match
1.88 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/121.47 xG/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/121.96 xG/match
17.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1214.2 shots/match
10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1216.7 shots/match
5.91 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/125.33 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/126.25 shots/match
55.6%Possessionseason · 12/1244%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.5 corners/match
3.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/126.08 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1210.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1217%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Twente80.6
SC Telstar19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Twente67.6
SC Telstar39.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Twente81.5
SC Telstar32.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Twente86.1
SC Telstar80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Twente75
SC Telstar47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 42%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Twente52.8
SC Telstar63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Twente68.1
SC Telstar55.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.82 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.55 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
54.6%Possession5/544%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls4/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
2.07 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.57 xG/match
18 shots/matchShots10/1014.1 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots on target9/105.4 shots/match
55.9%Possession10/1043.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.9 fouls/matchFouls8/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.17 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.75 goals/match
1.88 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.47 xG/match
17.9 shots/matchShots12/1214.2 shots/match
5.91 shots/matchShots on target11/125.33 shots/match
55.6%Possession12/1244%
5 corners/matchCorners12/125.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1210.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.5 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
1.91 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.87 xG/match
20.2 shots/matchShots6/611.3 shots/match
6.83 shots/matchShots on target6/63.33 shots/match
59%Possession6/640%
6 corners/matchCorners6/64.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/610.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.23 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.96 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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