PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 Excelsior · Eredivisie

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Go Ahead Eagles won 2–0.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.810.54
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Go Ahead Eagles beat Excelsior 2–0. Recorded in this match (Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior): shots 12–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.81–0.54, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Excelsior's recent record differs from the season

weak

Excelsior's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.8 goals/match1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Excelsior show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Excelsior's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsGo Ahead Eagles · Excelsior12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesExcelsiorBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match12 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against19 shots/match17.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.2% ●PossessionGo Ahead Eagles · Excelsior43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesExcelsiorBaseline
Possession52.2%43.8%50.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 12 shots, Excelsior 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 4 shots, Excelsior 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG0.54 xGGo Ahead Eagles 1.81 xG, Excelsior 0.54 xG
  • Possession52%48%Go Ahead Eagles 52%, Excelsior 48%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersGo Ahead Eagles 4 corners, Excelsior 10 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsGo Ahead Eagles 7 fouls, Excelsior 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adam Carlén · Excelsior · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdam Carlén · Excelsior · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArthur Zagre · Excelsior · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStefan Mitrović · Excelsior · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYassir Rahmouni · Go Ahead Eagles · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRichonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAske Adelgaard · Go Ahead Eagles · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobbin Weijenberg · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMats Deijl · Go Ahead Eagles · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAske Adelgaard · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedStefan Mitrović · Excelsior · 27′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 58′ · 0.14 xG · goalSzymon Włodarczyk · Excelsior · 44′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 66′ · 0.44 xG · goalMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 58′ · 0.46 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 22′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.86 xG. Excelsior: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 58′Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 1.86 xG · Excelsior 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Go Ahead Eagles
1Draws
1Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles — Excelsior · Eredivisie3–0
Excelsior — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1–1
Excelsior — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–1
Go Ahead Eagles — Excelsior · Eredivisie3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Go Ahead Eagles favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Excelsior in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Go Ahead Eagles10 matchesExcelsior10 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.16 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots10/1012 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession10/1043.8%
6.3 corners/match ●Corners10/104.3 corners/match
9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGo Ahead EaglesExcelsior
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headGo Ahead Eagles — Excelsior
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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