Eredivisie · 2025AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar 4–1 FC Utrecht · Eredivisie

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AZ Alkmaar won 4–1.

Shots
188
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
3.590.99
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

AZ Alkmaar beat FC Utrecht 4–1. Recorded in this match (AZ Alkmaar – FC Utrecht): shots 18–8, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 3.59–0.99, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Utrecht's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Utrecht's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.9 goals/match1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsAZ Alkmaar 18 shots, FC Utrecht 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsAZ Alkmaar 7 shots, FC Utrecht 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.59 xG0.99 xGAZ Alkmaar 3.59 xG, FC Utrecht 0.99 xG
  • Possession50%50%AZ Alkmaar 50%, FC Utrecht 50%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersAZ Alkmaar 8 corners, FC Utrecht 2 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls14 foulsAZ Alkmaar 4 fouls, FC Utrecht 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Peer Koopmeiners · AZ Alkmaar · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsak Steiner Jensen · AZ Alkmaar · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMiliano Jonathans · FC Utrecht · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenso Kasius · AZ Alkmaar · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSébastien Haller · FC Utrecht · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavid Min · FC Utrecht · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Sadiq · AZ Alkmaar · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 56′ · 0.17 xG · on targetTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 6′ · 0.19 xG · goalDavid Min · FC Utrecht · 38′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 34′ · 0.38 xG · goalMees De Wit · AZ Alkmaar · 88′ · 0.40 xG · goalSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 51′ · 0.42 xG · goalGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 69′ · 0.58 xG · goalSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 19′ · 0.75 xG · on targetTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 60′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AZ Alkmaar: 18 shots, 7 on target, 3.62 xG. FC Utrecht: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Troy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 6′Troy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 34′Sven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 51′Mees De Wit · AZ Alkmaar · 88′Gjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AZ Alkmaar 3.62 xG · FC Utrecht 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0AZ Alkmaar
4Draws
1FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–0
AZ Alkmaar — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie1–2
AZ Alkmaar — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie3–3
FC Utrecht — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–1
AZ Alkmaar — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie5–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AZ Alkmaar favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · FC Utrecht in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AZ Alkmaar10 matchesFC Utrecht10 matches
2.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
2.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.39 xG/match
18.1 shots/match ▲Shots10/1015.1 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/105.4 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession10/1051.9%
6.1 corners/match ●Corners10/105.3 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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