PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard 2–0 SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard won 2–0.

Shots
1018
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
1.781.49
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat SC Heerenveen 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fortuna Sittard – SC Heerenveen): shots 10–18, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 1.78–1.49, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible home split

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortuna Sittard's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortuna Sittard's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortuna Sittard show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFortuna Sittard · SC Heerenveen15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardSC HeerenveenBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match15.4 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots18 shotsFortuna Sittard 10 shots, SC Heerenveen 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsFortuna Sittard 5 shots, SC Heerenveen 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG1.49 xGFortuna Sittard 1.78 xG, SC Heerenveen 1.49 xG
  • Possession39%61%Fortuna Sittard 39%, SC Heerenveen 61%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersFortuna Sittard 4 corners, SC Heerenveen 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsFortuna Sittard 14 fouls, SC Heerenveen 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Justin Lonwijk · Fortuna Sittard · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 49′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVasilios Zagaritis · SC Heerenveen · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMakan Aïko · Fortuna Sittard · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSam Kersten · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaas Willemsen · SC Heerenveen · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 83′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVáclav Sejk · SC Heerenveen · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIván Márquez · Fortuna Sittard · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 16′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 50′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 16′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 52′ · 0.14 xG · on targetVáclav Sejk · SC Heerenveen · 35′ · 0.22 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 52′ · 0.24 xG · on targetPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 60′ · 0.68 xG · goalMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 66′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fortuna Sittard: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.84 xG. SC Heerenveen: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Paul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 60′Mohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fortuna Sittard 1.84 xG · SC Heerenveen 1.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fortuna Sittard
2Draws
1SC Heerenveen
SC Heerenveen — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–2
Fortuna Sittard — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie3–0
Fortuna Sittard — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie3–3
SC Heerenveen — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–0
Fortuna Sittard — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · SC Heerenveen in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard12 matchesSC Heerenveen12 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.75 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.86 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.17 shots/match
47.5%Possession12/12● 52.7%
3.92 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.83 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardSC Heerenveen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — SC Heerenveen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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