PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Mac3Park Stadion

PEC Zwolle 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PEC Zwolle won 1–0.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.70.94
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

PEC Zwolle beat Sparta Rotterdam 1–0. Recorded in this match (PEC Zwolle – Sparta Rotterdam): shots 11–14, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.7–0.94, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

weak

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsPEC Zwolle 11 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotPEC Zwolle 3 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.7 xG0.94 xGPEC Zwolle 0.7 xG, Sparta Rotterdam 0.94 xG
  • Possession36%64%PEC Zwolle 36%, Sparta Rotterdam 64%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersPEC Zwolle 3 corners, Sparta Rotterdam 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsPEC Zwolle 9 fouls, Sparta Rotterdam 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Graves Jensen · PEC Zwolle · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Aertssen · PEC Zwolle · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLance Duijvestijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Thomas · PEC Zwolle · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 47′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 31′ · 0.09 xG · goalKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 50′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNökkvi Þórisson · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedShola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 9′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 72′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.70 xG. Sparta Rotterdam: 14 shots, 1 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 0.70 xG · Sparta Rotterdam 0.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2PEC Zwolle
1Draws
2Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1
PEC Zwolle — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–0
Sparta Rotterdam — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie0–2
PEC Zwolle — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–2
Sparta Rotterdam — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Sparta Rotterdam in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle12 matchesSparta Rotterdam12 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.17 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 2 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.26 xG/match
8.75 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 12.3 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲ 4.09 shots/match
41.8%Possession12/12● 43.2%
2.42 corners/matchCorners12/12● 3.92 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls12/118.36 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPEC ZwolleSparta Rotterdam
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headPEC Zwolle — Sparta Rotterdam
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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