PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Erve Asito

Heracles 0–3 SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Heerenveen won 0–3.

Shots
815
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.481.76
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Heerenveen beat Heracles Almelo 3–0. Recorded in this match (Heracles Almelo – SC Heerenveen): shots 8–15, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.48–1.76, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Heracles Almelo have a visible home split

moderate

Heracles Almelo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Heerenveen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Heerenveen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHeracles Almelo · SC Heerenveen16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHeracles AlmeloSC HeerenveenBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match16 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Heracles Almelo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Heracles Almelo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsHeracles 8 shots, SC Heerenveen 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsHeracles 2 shots, SC Heerenveen 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.48 xG1.76 xGHeracles 0.48 xG, SC Heerenveen 1.76 xG
  • Possession42%58%Heracles 42%, SC Heerenveen 58%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersHeracles 4 corners, SC Heerenveen 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsHeracles 12 fouls, SC Heerenveen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ajdin Hrustić · Heracles Almelo · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAjdin Hrustić · Heracles Almelo · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBryan Limbombe · Heracles Almelo · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaas Willemsen · SC Heerenveen · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Linday · SC Heerenveen · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDamon Mirani · Heracles Almelo · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 55′ · 0.04 xG · goalLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 3′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAmourricho van Axel-Dongen · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlec Van Hoorenbeeck · Heracles Almelo · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMario Engels · Heracles Almelo · 16′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 35′ · 0.10 xG · on targetOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 3′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMario Engels · Heracles Almelo · 69′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMario Engels · Heracles Almelo · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 68′ · 0.13 xG · on targetVasilios Zagaritis · SC Heerenveen · 77′ · 0.13 xG · goalLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Heracles Almelo: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.49 xG. SC Heerenveen: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 55′Vasilios Zagaritis · SC Heerenveen · 77′Maxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Heracles Almelo 0.49 xG · SC Heerenveen 1.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Heracles
1Draws
3SC Heerenveen
SC Heerenveen — Heracles · Eredivisie1–1
Heracles — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–1
Heracles — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie0–2
SC Heerenveen — Heracles · Eredivisie3–0
SC Heerenveen — Heracles · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Heracles favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · SC Heerenveen in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Heracles17 matchesSC Heerenveen17 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.71 goals/match
2.59 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.83 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 16 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5.53 shots/match
43.2%Possession17/17● 51.8%
4.47 corners/matchCorners17/17● 6.35 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHeraclesSC Heerenveen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headHeracles — SC Heerenveen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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