Match at a glance NEC Nijmegen and AFC Ajax drew 2–2.
Shots 15 – 19
Shots on target 6 – 8
Expected goals 2.05 – 2.02
Possession 39% – 61% Story Stats Shot map xG H2H Comparison Evidence More football Full time
What the match recorded NEC Nijmegen and AFC Ajax drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – AFC Ajax): shots 15–19, shots on target 6–8, expected goals 2.05–2.02, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics NEC Nijmegen AFC Ajax
Shots 15 shots 19 shots NEC Nijmegen 15 shots, AFC Ajax 19 shots Shots on target 6 shots 8 shots NEC Nijmegen 6 shots, AFC Ajax 8 shots Expected goals 2.05 xG 2.02 xG NEC Nijmegen 2.05 xG, AFC Ajax 2.02 xG Possession 39% 61% NEC Nijmegen 39%, AFC Ajax 61% Corners 1 corner 7 corners NEC Nijmegen 1 corner, AFC Ajax 7 corners Fouls 8 fouls 8 fouls NEC Nijmegen 8 fouls, AFC Ajax 8 fouls Every shot
Shot map Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Share AFC Ajax ← attacking attacking → NEC Nijmegen
Ko Itakura · AFC Ajax · 57′ · 0.01 xG · on target Eli Dasa · NEC Nijmegen · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blocked Anton Gaaei · AFC Ajax · 83′ · 0.02 xG · on target Rayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blocked Mika Godts · AFC Ajax · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blocked Başar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blocked Mika Godts · AFC Ajax · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blocked Oscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blocked Mika Godts · AFC Ajax · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blocked Youri Baas · AFC Ajax · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blocked Başar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 34′ · 0.05 xG · on target Sami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 46′ · 0.05 xG · goal Darko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on target Kenneth Taylor · AFC Ajax · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blocked Bryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blocked Oscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on target Youri Baas · AFC Ajax · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blocked Davy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 53′ · 0.08 xG · on target Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blocked Kodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blocked Oscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 65′ · 0.09 xG · on target Bryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 3′ · 0.10 xG · goal Koki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blocked Kasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blocked Kento Shiogai · NEC Nijmegen · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blocked Kenneth Taylor · AFC Ajax · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blocked Mika Godts · AFC Ajax · 42′ · 0.12 xG · on target Sami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 6′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blocked Mika Godts · AFC Ajax · 44′ · 0.20 xG · goal Koki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 3′ · 0.35 xG · on target Kasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 38′ · 0.37 xG · goal Mika Godts · AFC Ajax · 76′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked Başar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 53′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked Bryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 3′ · 0.57 xG · on target size = xG NEC Nijmegen: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.25 xG. AFC Ajax: 19 shots, 8 on target, 1.98 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Share NEC Nijmegen 2.25 xG AFC Ajax 1.98 xG
0 1.25 2.5 0′ HT 90′ Bryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 3′ Sami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 46′ Kasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 38′ Mika Godts · AFC Ajax · 44′ The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEC Nijmegen 2.25 xG · AFC Ajax 1.98 xG.
History
Head-to-head Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
1 NEC Nijmegen
1 Draws
3 AFC Ajax
11 May 2025 AFC Ajax — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie 0–3
1 Dec 2024 NEC Nijmegen — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie 1–2
18 Feb 2024 AFC Ajax — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie 2–2
3 Dec 2023 NEC Nijmegen — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie 1–2
5 Mar 2023 AFC Ajax — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie 1–0
Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is Season: NEC Nijmegen favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · AFC Ajax in 3 · 2 too close
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive)
Season Last 10 Last 5 Home–Away Style profile Rest and recent workload
NEC Nijmegen 17 matches AFC Ajax 17 matches
2.53 goals/match ▲ Goals scored17/17 1.88 goals/match
1.71 goals/match Goals allowed17/17 ▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲ Expected goals17/17 1.52 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲ Shots17/17 14.9 shots/match
6.88 shots/match ▲ Shots on target17/17 6.12 shots/match
56.8% Possession17/17 ● 57%
5.35 corners/match Corners17/17 ● 5.47 corners/match
12.1 fouls/match Fouls16/17 10.9 fouls/match
NEC Nijmegen 10 matches AFC Ajax 10 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲ Goals scored10/10 1.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/match Goals allowed10/10 ▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.62 xG/match ▲ Expected goals10/10 1.21 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲ Shots10/10 13.7 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲ Shots on target10/10 5.2 shots/match
54.8% Possession10/10 ● 57.2%
5.1 corners/match ● Corners10/10 4.5 corners/match
12.1 fouls/match Fouls9/10 9.8 fouls/match
NEC Nijmegen 5 matches AFC Ajax 5 matches
2.8 goals/match ▲ Goals scored5/5 2 goals/match
1.8 goals/match Goals allowed5/5 ▲ 1 goal/match
2.12 xG/match ▲ Expected goals5/5 1.31 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲ Shots5/5 15 shots/match
8 shots/match ▲ Shots on target5/5 6 shots/match
5.8 corners/match ● Corners5/5 5.2 corners/match
11.6 fouls/match Fouls5/5 9.4 fouls/match
NEC Nijmegen 8 matches AFC Ajax 8 matches
2.88 goals/match ▲ Goals scored8/8 2.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed8/8 1.88 goals/match
2.06 xG/match ▲ Expected goals8/8 1.4 xG/match
15.3 shots/match Shots8/8 14.8 shots/match
6.63 shots/match ▲ Shots on target8/8 5.88 shots/match
52.5% Possession8/8 ● 57.1%
5.38 corners/match ● Corners8/8 5.13 corners/match
10.7 fouls/match Fouls7/8 11.1 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Attacking volume Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Defensive resistance Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Directness proxy Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Physicality Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47% Set-piece relevance Corner volume relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Tempo and pressure proxy Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99% 7.15 days Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/1 6.23 days
2 matches Matches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/1 1 match
NEC Nijmegen / AFC Ajax
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis Grade A · Strong evidence Strong evidence — limited
Season samples 17 / 17 home / away teams
Recent samples 5 / 5 last-five windows
Freshness Less than one day from nearest prior match
The fixture is outside the configured active season. Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold. Known unknowns Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset. Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards. The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season. Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4 Team rankings in Eredivisie 
NEC Nijmegen
Eredivisie · 2025
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