Eredivisie · 2025BUKO Stadion

SC Telstar 2–2 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Telstar and NEC Nijmegen drew 2–2.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
1.822.34
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Telstar and NEC Nijmegen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (SC Telstar – NEC Nijmegen): shots 10–16, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 1.82–2.34, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Telstar's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

NEC Nijmegen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

NEC Nijmegen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Telstar · NEC Nijmegen15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarNEC NijmegenBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match15.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

NEC Nijmegen have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.1%PossessionSC Telstar · NEC Nijmegen● 57.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarNEC NijmegenBaseline
Possession44.1%57.9%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsSC Telstar 10 shots, NEC Nijmegen 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsSC Telstar 4 shots, NEC Nijmegen 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG2.34 xGSC Telstar 1.82 xG, NEC Nijmegen 2.34 xG
  • Possession33%67%SC Telstar 33%, NEC Nijmegen 67%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersSC Telstar 5 corners, NEC Nijmegen 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsSC Telstar 8 fouls, NEC Nijmegen 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Eli Dasa · NEC Nijmegen · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Hamdaoui · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEli Dasa · NEC Nijmegen · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVirgil Misidjan · NEC Nijmegen · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 61′ · 0.03 xG · goalNeville Nwankwo · SC Telstar · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGuus Offerhaus · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Hamdaoui · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDarko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 14′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDeveron Fonville · NEC Nijmegen · 7′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 37′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 67′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 20′ · 0.18 xG · on targetKento Shiogai · NEC Nijmegen · 89′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 42′ · 0.19 xG · goalBrayann Pereira · NEC Nijmegen · 87′ · 0.34 xG · on targetJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 21′ · 0.66 xG · goalSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 67′ · 0.82 xG · on targetKento Shiogai · NEC Nijmegen · 77′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.95 xG. NEC Nijmegen: 16 shots, 8 on target, 2.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 21′Jeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 61′Bryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 42′Kento Shiogai · NEC Nijmegen · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 1.95 xG · NEC Nijmegen 2.28 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · NEC Nijmegen in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar16 matchesNEC Nijmegen16 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 2.56 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.69 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.84 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 15.9 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 6.94 shots/match
44.1%Possession16/16● 57.9%
5.06 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.63 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1512.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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