Eredivisie · 2025Stadion Galgenwaard

FC Utrecht 1–2 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 1–2.

Shots
1714
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
1.371.53
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Utrecht 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven): shots 17–14, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 1.37–1.53, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Utrecht's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Utrecht's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible away split

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match17.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.8%PossessionFC Utrecht · PSV Eindhoven● 59.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC UtrechtPSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession47.8%59.8%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots14 shotsFC Utrecht 17 shots, PSV Eindhoven 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsFC Utrecht 3 shots, PSV Eindhoven 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG1.53 xGFC Utrecht 1.37 xG, PSV Eindhoven 1.53 xG
  • Possession43%57%FC Utrecht 43%, PSV Eindhoven 57%
  • Corners2 corners12 cornersFC Utrecht 2 corners, PSV Eindhoven 12 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsFC Utrecht 7 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Miguel Rodríguez · FC Utrecht · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Rodríguez · FC Utrecht · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Rodríguez · FC Utrecht · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Rodríguez · FC Utrecht · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMike Van der Hoorn · FC Utrecht · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 13′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSiebe Horemans · FC Utrecht · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVictor Jensen · FC Utrecht · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJerdy Schouten · PSV Eindhoven · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Rodríguez · FC Utrecht · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMike Van der Hoorn · FC Utrecht · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 66′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 2′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 76′ · 0.16 xG · goalDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 36′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 61′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMike Van der Hoorn · FC Utrecht · 31′ · 0.48 xG · goalRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Utrecht: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.35 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mike Van der Hoorn · FC Utrecht · 31′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 52′Ivan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Utrecht 1.35 xG · PSV Eindhoven 1.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Utrecht
3Draws
2PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie2–2
FC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie2–5
FC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–1
PSV Eindhoven — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie2–0
FC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Utrecht favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Utrecht17 matchesPSV Eindhoven17 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 3.06 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.92 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 17.6 shots/match
5.18 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 7.29 shots/match
47.8%Possession17/17● 59.8%
5 corners/matchCorners17/17● 6.59 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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