PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen · Eredivisie

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Go Ahead Eagles and FC Groningen drew 1–1.

Shots
814
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.061.13
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Go Ahead Eagles and FC Groningen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Go Ahead Eagles – FC Groningen): shots 8–14, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.06–1.13, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Groningen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Groningen's last-five shots average is above their season average.

23.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots23.2 shots/match16.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Groningen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Groningen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsGo Ahead Eagles · FC Groningen16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesFC GroningenBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match16.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against18.6 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 8 shots, FC Groningen 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 3 shots, FC Groningen 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG1.13 xGGo Ahead Eagles 1.06 xG, FC Groningen 1.13 xG
  • Possession47%53%Go Ahead Eagles 47%, FC Groningen 53%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersGo Ahead Eagles 1 corner, FC Groningen 8 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsGo Ahead Eagles 7 fouls, FC Groningen 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThijmen Blokzijl · FC Groningen · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStije Resink · FC Groningen · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDean James · Go Ahead Eagles · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDean James · Go Ahead Eagles · 18′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOskar Siira Sivertsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOskar Zawada · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTika de Jonge · FC Groningen · 61′ · 0.07 xG · goalThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 36′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedOskar Siira Sivertsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 55′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOskar Zawada · FC Groningen · 85′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 72′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 41′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.03 xG. FC Groningen: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 41′Tika de Jonge · FC Groningen · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 1.03 xG · FC Groningen 1.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Go Ahead Eagles
1Draws
2FC Groningen
Go Ahead Eagles — FC Groningen · Eredivisie2–1
FC Groningen — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie0–1
Go Ahead Eagles — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–1
FC Groningen — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–1
Go Ahead Eagles — FC Groningen · Eredivisie0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Go Ahead Eagles favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Groningen in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Go Ahead Eagles17 matchesFC Groningen17 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.47 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.75 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 16.4 shots/match
4.76 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 6.41 shots/match
51.5%Possession17/17● 51.7%
5.12 corners/matchCorners17/17● 6.29 corners/match
9.18 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGo Ahead EaglesFC Groningen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headGo Ahead Eagles — FC Groningen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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