PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Kuip

Feyenoord 4–2 Heracles · Eredivisie

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Feyenoord won 4–2.

Shots
167
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.482.05
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Feyenoord beat Heracles Almelo 4–2. Recorded in this match (Feyenoord – Heracles Almelo): shots 16–7, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.48–2.05, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Feyenoord show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Feyenoord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFeyenoord · Heracles Almelo11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFeyenoordHeracles AlmeloBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match11 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match17.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Heracles Almelo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Heracles Almelo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.4 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Heracles Almelo have a visible away split

moderate

Heracles Almelo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.36 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.36 shots/match11 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsFeyenoord 16 shots, Heracles 7 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsFeyenoord 8 shots, Heracles 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG2.05 xGFeyenoord 1.48 xG, Heracles 2.05 xG
  • Possession66%34%Feyenoord 66%, Heracles 34%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerFeyenoord 8 corners, Heracles 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsFeyenoord 12 fouls, Heracles 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mario Engels · Heracles Almelo · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJannes Wieckhoff · Heracles Almelo · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 83′ · 0.03 xG · goalLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 11′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLequincio Zeefuik · Heracles Almelo · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHwang In-beom · Feyenoord · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHwang In-beom · Feyenoord · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 80′ · 0.07 xG · on targetHwang In-beom · Feyenoord · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMats Deijl · Feyenoord · 20′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 35′ · 0.16 xG · goalLeo Sauer · Feyenoord · 23′ · 0.23 xG · goalLuka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 58′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 85′ · 0.48 xG · goalTristan van Gilst · Heracles Almelo · 90′ · 0.72 xG · goalLuka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 29′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Feyenoord: 16 shots, 8 on target, 1.49 xG. Heracles Almelo: 7 shots, 3 on target, 2.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Leo Sauer · Feyenoord · 23′Jordan Bos · Feyenoord · 35′Anis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 83′Casper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 85′Luka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 29′Tristan van Gilst · Heracles Almelo · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Feyenoord 1.49 xG · Heracles Almelo 2.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Feyenoord
0Draws
0Heracles
Heracles — Feyenoord · Eredivisie0–7
Heracles — Feyenoord · Eredivisie1–4
Feyenoord — Heracles · Eredivisie5–2
Feyenoord — Heracles · Eredivisie3–0
Heracles — Feyenoord · Eredivisie0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Feyenoord favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Heracles in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Feyenoord20 matchesHeracles20 matches
2.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.4 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/202.6 goals/match
2.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.22 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots20/2011 shots/match
6.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.05 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession20/2043.4%
7.55 corners/match ●Corners20/204.3 corners/match
9.26 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFeyenoordHeracles
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFeyenoord — Heracles
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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