Eredivisie · 2025Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

FC Groningen 1–2 Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard won 1–2.

Shots
2510
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
2.420.8
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat FC Groningen 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Groningen – Fortuna Sittard): shots 25–10, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 2.42–0.8, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible away split

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortuna Sittard's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortuna Sittard's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Groningen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Groningen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Groningen · Fortuna Sittard13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC GroningenFortuna SittardBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots10 shotsFC Groningen 25 shots, Fortuna Sittard 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsFC Groningen 5 shots, Fortuna Sittard 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.42 xG0.8 xGFC Groningen 2.42 xG, Fortuna Sittard 0.8 xG
  • Possession60%40%FC Groningen 60%, Fortuna Sittard 40%
  • Corners16 corners3 cornersFC Groningen 16 corners, Fortuna Sittard 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsFC Groningen 12 fouls, Fortuna Sittard 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 2′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 70′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÉdouard Michut · Fortuna Sittard · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Rente · FC Groningen · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThijmen Blokzijl · FC Groningen · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOskar Zawada · FC Groningen · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉdouard Michut · Fortuna Sittard · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 89′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetStije Resink · FC Groningen · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarco Rente · FC Groningen · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThijmen Blokzijl · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 29′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDies Janse · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOskar Zawada · FC Groningen · 79′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 12′ · 0.24 xG · goalMarvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 37′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 72′ · 0.25 xG · on targetStije Resink · FC Groningen · 21′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedDies Janse · FC Groningen · 6′ · 0.34 xG · goalLance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 32′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Groningen: 25 shots, 5 on target, 2.45 xG. Fortuna Sittard: 10 shots, 6 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dies Janse · FC Groningen · 6′Kaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 12′Lance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Groningen 2.45 xG · Fortuna Sittard 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Groningen
0Draws
3Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–2
FC Groningen — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — FC Groningen · Eredivisie3–1
FC Groningen — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Groningen favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Fortuna Sittard in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Groningen20 matchesFortuna Sittard20 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.7 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.14 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots20/2013 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.55 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession20/2045.5%
6.6 corners/match ●Corners20/204.6 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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