Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeDe KuipFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFeyenoordSC Telstar
Shots19 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals2.09 xG/match1.27 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners5 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Casper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnel Ahmedhodžić · Feyenoord · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMats Deijl · Feyenoord · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 11′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJakub Moder · Feyenoord · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHwang In-beom · Feyenoord · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNökkvi Þórisson · SC Telstar · 36′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 30′ · 0.06 xG · goalLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 43′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 14′ · 0.08 xG · goalAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTsuyoshi Watanabe · Feyenoord · 7′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 59′ · 0.12 xG · on targetTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJakub Moder · Feyenoord · 55′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 39′ · 0.15 xG · goalTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 88′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJelani Seedorf · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 33′ · 0.30 xG · on targetAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 20′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedNökkvi Þórisson · SC Telstar · 38′ · 0.44 xG · on targetLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 7′ · 0.48 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Feyenoord: 19 shots, 10 on target, 2.14 xG. SC Telstar: 8 shots, 6 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Anis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 30′Anis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 39′Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 14′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Feyenoord 2.14 xG · SC Telstar 1.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Feyenoord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Feyenoord show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Feyenoord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/matchShotsFeyenoord · SC Telstar12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFeyenoordSC TelstarBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match16.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Feyenoord have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.6%PossessionFeyenoord · SC Telstar43.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFeyenoordSC TelstarBaseline
Possession54.6%43.5%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Feyenoord
0Draws
0SC Telstar
SC TelstarFeyenoord · Eredivisie12

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Feyenoord favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · SC Telstar in 0 · 3 too close

2.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/241.17 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/241.71 goals/match
1.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 24/241.4 xG/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 24/241.87 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2412.7 shots/match
10.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2416.2 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/244.5 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/246.46 shots/match
54.6%Possessionseason · 24/2443.5%
7.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244.96 corners/match
3.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/246 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.48 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2411.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2413%
92%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Feyenoord75
SC Telstar2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Feyenoord87
SC Telstar28.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Feyenoord80.6
SC Telstar20.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Feyenoord91.7
SC Telstar63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Feyenoord2.8
SC Telstar75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Feyenoord97.2
SC Telstar36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Feyenoord68.8
SC Telstar44.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.4 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
57.2%Possession5/545.6%
8.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.32 xG/match
16.8 shots/matchShots10/1011.3 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
54.6%Possession10/1042.6%
8.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
2.29 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.17 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.71 goals/match
1.96 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.4 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShots24/2412.7 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on target24/244.5 shots/match
54.6%Possession24/2443.5%
7.71 corners/matchCorners24/244.96 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.48 fouls/matchFouls23/2411.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 12 matches
2.46 goals/matchGoals scored13/120.83 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/121.42 goals/match
2.21 xG/matchExpected goals13/121.12 xG/match
20.2 shots/matchShots13/1211.7 shots/match
7.54 shots/matchShots on target13/123.75 shots/match
56.1%Possession13/1241.8%
8.46 corners/matchCorners13/124.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.77 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.32 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.23 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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