PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AZ Alkmaar won 3–1.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.390.91
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

AZ Alkmaar beat Sparta Rotterdam 3–1. Recorded in this match (AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam): shots 11–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.39–0.91, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AZ Alkmaar's recent record differs from the season

weak

AZ Alkmaar's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match15.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AZ Alkmaar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AZ Alkmaar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAZ Alkmaar · Sparta Rotterdam12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarSparta RotterdamBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match16.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsAZ Alkmaar 11 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsAZ Alkmaar 5 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.39 xG0.91 xGAZ Alkmaar 1.39 xG, Sparta Rotterdam 0.91 xG
  • Possession46%54%AZ Alkmaar 46%, Sparta Rotterdam 54%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersAZ Alkmaar 2 corners, Sparta Rotterdam 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsAZ Alkmaar 9 fouls, Sparta Rotterdam 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Troy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Chávez · AZ Alkmaar · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTeo Quintero · Sparta Rotterdam · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCasper Terho · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPeer Koopmeiners · AZ Alkmaar · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · AZ Alkmaar · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLushendry Edward Martes · Sparta Rotterdam · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsak Steiner Jensen · AZ Alkmaar · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 46′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAyoub Oufkir · AZ Alkmaar · 54′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBruno Martins Indi · Sparta Rotterdam · 12′ · 0.11 xG · on targetTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 65′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 83′ · 0.17 xG · goalIsak Steiner Jensen · AZ Alkmaar · 68′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 65′ · 0.24 xG · goalMilan Zonneveld · Sparta Rotterdam · 87′ · 0.29 xG · goalTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 90′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AZ Alkmaar: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.34 xG. Sparta Rotterdam: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Sven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 65′Kees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 83′Troy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 90′Milan Zonneveld · Sparta Rotterdam · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AZ Alkmaar 1.34 xG · Sparta Rotterdam 0.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AZ Alkmaar
1Draws
1Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–1
AZ Alkmaar — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–2
Sparta Rotterdam — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–2
Sparta Rotterdam — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–1
AZ Alkmaar — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AZ Alkmaar favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Sparta Rotterdam in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AZ Alkmaar24 matchesSparta Rotterdam24 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.29 goals/match
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.67 goals/match
1.88 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.41 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots24/2412.8 shots/match
5.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/234.74 shots/match
53% ●Possession24/2446.7%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners24/244.75 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls24/239.57 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAZ AlkmaarSparta Rotterdam
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headAZ Alkmaar — Sparta Rotterdam
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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