PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sparta Rotterdam and NEC Nijmegen drew 1–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.70.99
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sparta Rotterdam and NEC Nijmegen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sparta Rotterdam – NEC Nijmegen): shots 13–12, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.7–0.99, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sparta Rotterdam's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sparta Rotterdam's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

NEC Nijmegen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

NEC Nijmegen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsSparta Rotterdam · NEC Nijmegen15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSparta RotterdamNEC NijmegenBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match15.8 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

NEC Nijmegen have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.4%PossessionSparta Rotterdam · NEC Nijmegen● 57.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSparta RotterdamNEC NijmegenBaseline
Possession46.4%57.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsSparta Rotterdam 13 shots, NEC Nijmegen 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsSparta Rotterdam 5 shots, NEC Nijmegen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG0.99 xGSparta Rotterdam 1.7 xG, NEC Nijmegen 0.99 xG
  • Possession41%59%Sparta Rotterdam 41%, NEC Nijmegen 59%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersSparta Rotterdam 8 corners, NEC Nijmegen 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsSparta Rotterdam 18 fouls, NEC Nijmegen 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ayoni Santos · Sparta Rotterdam · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAhmetcan Kaplan · NEC Nijmegen · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAhmetcan Kaplan · NEC Nijmegen · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarvin Young · Sparta Rotterdam · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussef el Kachati · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 32′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBruno Martins Indi · Sparta Rotterdam · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 48′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWillum Thor Willumsson · NEC Nijmegen · 54′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYoussef el Kachati · NEC Nijmegen · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Young · Sparta Rotterdam · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Young · Sparta Rotterdam · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 78′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 9′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDanilo · NEC Nijmegen · 88′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 39′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedYoussef el Kachati · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 73′ · 0.19 xG · goalTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 33′ · 0.22 xG · on targetBruno Martins Indi · Sparta Rotterdam · 52′ · 0.27 xG · on targetBruno Martins Indi · Sparta Rotterdam · 64′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sparta Rotterdam: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.72 xG. NEC Nijmegen: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Bruno Martins Indi · Sparta Rotterdam · 64′Koki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sparta Rotterdam 1.72 xG · NEC Nijmegen 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sparta Rotterdam
2Draws
2NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie3–1
Sparta Rotterdam — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie2–0
NEC Nijmegen — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–1
NEC Nijmegen — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie2–0
Sparta Rotterdam — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sparta Rotterdam favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · NEC Nijmegen in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sparta Rotterdam23 matchesNEC Nijmegen23 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.52 goals/match
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.7 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.78 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 15.8 shots/match
4.77 shots/matchShots on target22/23▲ 6.65 shots/match
46.4%Possession23/23● 57.4%
4.65 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.22 corners/match
9.45 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Feb 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSparta RotterdamNEC Nijmegen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headSparta Rotterdam — NEC Nijmegen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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