Eredivisie · 2025Abe Lenstra Stadion

SC Heerenveen 4–2 PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Heerenveen won 4–2.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.581.19
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Heerenveen beat PEC Zwolle 4–2. Recorded in this match (SC Heerenveen – PEC Zwolle): shots 11–12, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.58–1.19, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

moderate

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for SC Heerenveen.

3.82 days ▲Rest daysSC Heerenveen · PEC Zwolle7.82 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSC HeerenveenPEC ZwolleBaseline
Rest days3.82 days7.82 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

PEC Zwolle show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PEC Zwolle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Heerenveen · PEC Zwolle9.26 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenPEC ZwolleBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match9.26 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match17.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsSC Heerenveen 11 shots, PEC Zwolle 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsSC Heerenveen 5 shots, PEC Zwolle 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG1.19 xGSC Heerenveen 1.58 xG, PEC Zwolle 1.19 xG
  • Possession44%56%SC Heerenveen 44%, PEC Zwolle 56%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersSC Heerenveen 2 corners, PEC Zwolle 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsSC Heerenveen 8 fouls, PEC Zwolle 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ryan Thomas · PEC Zwolle · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVasilios Zagaritis · SC Heerenveen · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 63′ · 0.03 xG · goalLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTristan Gooijer · PEC Zwolle · 16′ · 0.04 xG · goalMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 30′ · 0.04 xG · goalKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca Oyen · SC Heerenveen · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedZico Buurmeester · PEC Zwolle · 70′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAnselmo Garcia McNulty · PEC Zwolle · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuca Oyen · SC Heerenveen · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnselmo Garcia McNulty · PEC Zwolle · 72′ · 0.08 xG · on targetThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 1′ · 0.10 xG · on targetShola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 12′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuca Oyen · SC Heerenveen · 15′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 52′ · 0.48 xG · goalYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 13′ · 0.51 xG · goalEser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Heerenveen: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.48 xG. PEC Zwolle: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Maxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 30′Lasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 52′Ringo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 63′Eser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 90′Younes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 13′Tristan Gooijer · PEC Zwolle · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 1.48 xG · PEC Zwolle 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Heerenveen
3Draws
1PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–1
PEC Zwolle — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie1–1
SC Heerenveen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1
SC Heerenveen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–0
PEC Zwolle — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Heerenveen favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · PEC Zwolle in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Heerenveen23 matchesPEC Zwolle23 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.43 goals/match
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/232.13 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.14 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots23/239.26 shots/match
5.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.52 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession23/2344.3%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners23/232.91 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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