PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles 4–0 Heracles · Eredivisie

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Go Ahead Eagles won 4–0.

Shots
129
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.60.8
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Go Ahead Eagles beat Heracles Almelo 4–0. Recorded in this match (Go Ahead Eagles – Heracles Almelo): shots 12–9, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.6–0.8, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Heracles Almelo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Heracles Almelo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Heracles Almelo have a visible away split

moderate

Heracles Almelo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.54 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.54 shots/match11 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Go Ahead Eagles.

7.09 days ▲Rest daysGo Ahead Eagles · Heracles Almelo7.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGo Ahead EaglesHeracles AlmeloBaseline
Rest days7.09 days7.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 12 shots, Heracles 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 6 shots, Heracles 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.6 xG0.8 xGGo Ahead Eagles 2.6 xG, Heracles 0.8 xG
  • Possession51%49%Go Ahead Eagles 51%, Heracles 49%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersGo Ahead Eagles 4 corners, Heracles 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsGo Ahead Eagles 7 fouls, Heracles 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Richonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kramer · Go Ahead Eagles · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWalid Ould-Chikh · Heracles Almelo · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAjdin Hrustić · Heracles Almelo · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOskar Siira Sivertsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErik Ahlstrand · Heracles Almelo · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAjdin Hrustić · Heracles Almelo · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 66′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 67′ · 0.07 xG · goalLequincio Zeefuik · Heracles Almelo · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNaci Ünüvar · Heracles Almelo · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRichonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 47′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLequincio Zeefuik · Heracles Almelo · 44′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 10′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSøren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 30′ · 0.28 xG · goalLequincio Zeefuik · Heracles Almelo · 45′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 63′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.57 xG. Heracles Almelo: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.81 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Søren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 30′Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 63′Jakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 1.57 xG · Heracles Almelo 0.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Go Ahead Eagles
1Draws
3Heracles
Go Ahead Eagles — Heracles · KNVB Beker2–2
Heracles — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie4–2
Heracles — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie4–2
Go Ahead Eagles — Heracles · Eredivisie4–1
Heracles — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Go Ahead Eagles favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Heracles in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Go Ahead Eagles24 matchesHeracles24 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.29 goals/match
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/242.58 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.23 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/2411 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.96 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession24/2443.6%
5.54 corners/match ●Corners24/244.38 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls24/2313.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGo Ahead EaglesHeracles
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headGo Ahead Eagles — Heracles
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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