PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025BUKO Stadion

SC Telstar 3–0 NAC Breda · Eredivisie

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Telstar won 3–0.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
1.240.36
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Telstar beat NAC Breda 3–0. Recorded in this match (SC Telstar – NAC Breda): shots 14–10, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 1.24–0.36, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NAC Breda's recent record differs from the season

weak

NAC Breda's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsSC Telstar 14 shots, NAC Breda 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsSC Telstar 7 shots, NAC Breda 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG0.36 xGSC Telstar 1.24 xG, NAC Breda 0.36 xG
  • Possession62%38%SC Telstar 62%, NAC Breda 38%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersSC Telstar 10 corners, NAC Breda 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsSC Telstar 11 fouls, NAC Breda 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilien Balard · NAC Breda · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Nassoh · NAC Breda · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKamal Sowah · NAC Breda · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKamal Sowah · NAC Breda · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCharles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnes Mahmutović · NAC Breda · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCedric Hatenboer · SC Telstar · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNökkvi Þórisson · SC Telstar · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPepijn Reulen · NAC Breda · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNils Rossen · SC Telstar · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnes Mahmutović · NAC Breda · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEnes Mahmutović · NAC Breda · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · NAC Breda · 5′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNökkvi Þórisson · SC Telstar · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 83′ · 0.16 xG · goalJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 38′ · 0.17 xG · goalPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 85′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.24 xG. NAC Breda: 10 shots, 0 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 38′Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 83′Patrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 1.24 xG · NAC Breda 0.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Telstar
0Draws
0NAC Breda
NAC Breda — SC Telstar · Eredivisie0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · NAC Breda in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar25 matchesNAC Breda25 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251 goal/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.56 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.2 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.04 shots/match
44.2%Possession25/25● 48.4%
5.16 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.24 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Feb 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC TelstarNAC Breda
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required