PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Abe Lenstra Stadion

SC Heerenveen 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Heerenveen won 2–1.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.270.83
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Heerenveen beat Sparta Rotterdam 2–1. Recorded in this match (SC Heerenveen – Sparta Rotterdam): shots 16–13, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.27–0.83, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Heerenveen's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Heerenveen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.68 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Heerenveen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Heerenveen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Heerenveen · Sparta Rotterdam12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenSparta RotterdamBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match16.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsSC Heerenveen 16 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSC Heerenveen 4 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG0.83 xGSC Heerenveen 1.27 xG, Sparta Rotterdam 0.83 xG
  • Possession45%55%SC Heerenveen 45%, Sparta Rotterdam 55%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersSC Heerenveen 5 corners, Sparta Rotterdam 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls5 foulsSC Heerenveen 11 fouls, Sparta Rotterdam 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hristiyan Petrov · SC Heerenveen · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 86′ · 0.01 xG · goalMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Toornstra · Sparta Rotterdam · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 82′ · 0.02 xG · goalCasper Terho · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCasper Terho · Sparta Rotterdam · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 40′ · 0.08 xG · goalAyoni Santos · Sparta Rotterdam · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 19′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHristiyan Petrov · SC Heerenveen · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 38′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 1′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMaas Willemsen · SC Heerenveen · 69′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 19′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAyoni Santos · Sparta Rotterdam · 45′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Heerenveen: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.26 xG. Sparta Rotterdam: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 40′Luuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 82′Mitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 1.26 xG · Sparta Rotterdam 0.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SC Heerenveen
0Draws
3Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie0–3
Sparta Rotterdam — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie3–1
SC Heerenveen — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie2–0
Sparta Rotterdam — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–1
SC Heerenveen — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Heerenveen favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Sparta Rotterdam in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Heerenveen25 matchesSparta Rotterdam25 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.28 goals/match
1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.68 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.39 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.8 shots/match
5.24 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/244.67 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession25/2547%
5.4 corners/match ●Corners25/254.8 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls25/249.38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC HeerenveenSparta Rotterdam
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headSC Heerenveen — Sparta Rotterdam
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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