PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Mac3Park Stadion

PEC Zwolle 1–1 FC Groningen · Eredivisie

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PEC Zwolle and FC Groningen drew 1–1.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.162.09
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

PEC Zwolle and FC Groningen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (PEC Zwolle – FC Groningen): shots 13–16, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.16–2.09, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

weak

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PEC Zwolle show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PEC Zwolle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.56 shots/match ▲ShotsPEC Zwolle · FC Groningen15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleFC GroningenBaseline
Shots9.56 shots/match15.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against17.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsPEC Zwolle 13 shots, FC Groningen 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsPEC Zwolle 6 shots, FC Groningen 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.16 xG2.09 xGPEC Zwolle 2.16 xG, FC Groningen 2.09 xG
  • Possession50%50%PEC Zwolle 50%, FC Groningen 50%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersPEC Zwolle 7 corners, FC Groningen 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsPEC Zwolle 12 fouls, FC Groningen 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Younes Taha · FC Groningen · 18′ · 0.00 xG · on targetOlivier Aertssen · PEC Zwolle · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNick Fichtinger · PEC Zwolle · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTravis Hernes · FC Groningen · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetShola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Rente · FC Groningen · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJan Faberski · PEC Zwolle · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTravis Hernes · FC Groningen · 35′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 80′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 88′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMarco Rente · FC Groningen · 24′ · 0.19 xG · on targetYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 82′ · 0.21 xG · on targetOdysseus Velanas · PEC Zwolle · 69′ · 0.25 xG · on targetThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 84′ · 0.25 xG · goalThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 35′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 45′ · 0.30 xG · on targetThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 45′ · 0.37 xG · on targetYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 24′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 21′ · 0.52 xG · on targetKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 82′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.25 xG. FC Groningen: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Koen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 82′Thom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 2.25 xG · FC Groningen 2.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1PEC Zwolle
4Draws
0FC Groningen
FC Groningen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–2
PEC Zwolle — FC Groningen · Eredivisie2–0
FC Groningen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie0–0
PEC Zwolle — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–1
FC Groningen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Groningen in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle27 matchesFC Groningen27 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.37 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.72 xG/match
9.56 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 15.8 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 5.81 shots/match
44.6%Possession27/27● 50.7%
3.44 corners/matchCorners27/27● 6.37 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPEC ZwolleFC Groningen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headPEC Zwolle — FC Groningen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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