PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle drew 1–1.

Shots
2015
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.671.25
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sparta Rotterdam – PEC Zwolle): shots 20–15, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.67–1.25, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

moderate

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.35 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sparta Rotterdam show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sparta Rotterdam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsSparta Rotterdam · PEC Zwolle9.42 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSparta RotterdamPEC ZwolleBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match9.42 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against16.1 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots15 shotsSparta Rotterdam 20 shots, PEC Zwolle 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsSparta Rotterdam 7 shots, PEC Zwolle 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG1.25 xGSparta Rotterdam 1.67 xG, PEC Zwolle 1.25 xG
  • Possession51%49%Sparta Rotterdam 51%, PEC Zwolle 49%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersSparta Rotterdam 6 corners, PEC Zwolle 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsSparta Rotterdam 7 fouls, PEC Zwolle 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Thomas · PEC Zwolle · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetShurandy Sambo · Sparta Rotterdam · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasper Terho · Sparta Rotterdam · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZico Buurmeester · PEC Zwolle · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZico Buurmeester · PEC Zwolle · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPatrick van Aanholt · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAyoni Santos · Sparta Rotterdam · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 31′ · 0.08 xG · on targetThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 36′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCasper Terho · Sparta Rotterdam · 81′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 85′ · 0.10 xG · goalThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 22′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 60′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnselmo Garcia McNulty · PEC Zwolle · 77′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 38′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedCasper Terho · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedShola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 43′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · Sparta Rotterdam · 83′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sparta Rotterdam: 20 shots, 7 on target, 1.77 xG. PEC Zwolle: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Milan Zonneveld · Sparta Rotterdam · 83′Kaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sparta Rotterdam 1.77 xG · PEC Zwolle 1.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sparta Rotterdam
1Draws
3PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–0
Sparta Rotterdam — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1
PEC Zwolle — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–0
Sparta Rotterdam — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie0–2
PEC Zwolle — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sparta Rotterdam favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · PEC Zwolle in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sparta Rotterdam26 matchesPEC Zwolle26 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.96 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.13 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots26/269.42 shots/match
4.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/263.58 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession26/2644.4%
4.85 corners/match ●Corners26/263.31 corners/match
9.28 fouls/matchFouls25/2611.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headSparta Rotterdam — PEC Zwolle
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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