PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 FC Twente · Eredivisie

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 1–4.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.032.34
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat Go Ahead Eagles 4–1. Recorded in this match (Go Ahead Eagles – FC Twente): shots 15–11, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.03–2.34, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Twente's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsGo Ahead Eagles · FC Twente18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesFC TwenteBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match18.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against18.1 shots/match10.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Go Ahead Eagles have a visible home split

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 15 shots, FC Twente 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 7 shots, FC Twente 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.03 xG2.34 xGGo Ahead Eagles 2.03 xG, FC Twente 2.34 xG
  • Possession51%49%Go Ahead Eagles 51%, FC Twente 49%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersGo Ahead Eagles 6 corners, FC Twente 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsGo Ahead Eagles 8 fouls, FC Twente 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aske Adelgaard · Go Ahead Eagles · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAske Adelgaard · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJaden Slory · Go Ahead Eagles · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRichonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSam Lammers · FC Twente · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJari De Busser · FC Twente · 19′ · 0.10 xG · goalMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 56′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedStefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 80′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedStefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 86′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 22′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedStefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 82′ · 0.22 xG · on targetVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 3′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSam Lammers · FC Twente · 55′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 80′ · 0.28 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 50′ · 0.36 xG · goalSam Lammers · FC Twente · 26′ · 0.51 xG · goalJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 56′ · 0.60 xG · goalSam Lammers · FC Twente · 74′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.10 xG. FC Twente: 12 shots, 6 on target, 2.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 56′Jari De Busser · FC Twente · 19′Sam Lammers · FC Twente · 26′Kristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 50′Sam Lammers · FC Twente · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 2.10 xG · FC Twente 2.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Go Ahead Eagles
1Draws
4FC Twente
FC Twente — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–0
Go Ahead Eagles — FC Twente · Eredivisie2–2
FC Twente — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie3–2
FC Twente — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie3–0
Go Ahead Eagles — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Go Ahead Eagles favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Twente in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Go Ahead Eagles26 matchesFC Twente26 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.73 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.95 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 18.2 shots/match
5.04 shots/matchShots on target26/25▲ 6.4 shots/match
49.9%Possession26/26● 54.5%
5.46 corners/match ●Corners26/265.35 corners/match
9.46 fouls/matchFouls26/2411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGo Ahead EaglesFC Twente
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headGo Ahead Eagles — FC Twente
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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