PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Kuip

Feyenoord 1–1 AFC Ajax · Eredivisie

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Feyenoord and AFC Ajax drew 1–1.

Shots
145
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.370.21
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Feyenoord and AFC Ajax drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Feyenoord – AFC Ajax): shots 14–5, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.37–0.21, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Feyenoord's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Feyenoord's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.18 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsFeyenoord 14 shots, AFC Ajax 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsFeyenoord 5 shots, AFC Ajax 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.21 xGFeyenoord 1.37 xG, AFC Ajax 0.21 xG
  • Possession54%46%Feyenoord 54%, AFC Ajax 46%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerFeyenoord 5 corners, AFC Ajax 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsFeyenoord 12 fouls, AFC Ajax 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Steven Berghuis · AFC Ajax · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnel Ahmedhodžić · Feyenoord · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJakub Moder · Feyenoord · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSteven Berghuis · AFC Ajax · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJakub Moder · Feyenoord · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTsuyoshi Watanabe · Feyenoord · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSean Steur · AFC Ajax · 54′ · 0.07 xG · goalLeo Sauer · Feyenoord · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 47′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJakub Moder · Feyenoord · 85′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Feyenoord: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.40 xG. AFC Ajax: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jakub Moder · Feyenoord · 85′Sean Steur · AFC Ajax · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Feyenoord 1.40 xG · AFC Ajax 0.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Feyenoord
0Draws
3AFC Ajax
AFC Ajax — Feyenoord · Eredivisie2–0
AFC Ajax — Feyenoord · Eredivisie2–1
Feyenoord — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie0–2
Feyenoord — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie6–0
AFC Ajax — Feyenoord · Eredivisie0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Feyenoord favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · AFC Ajax in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Feyenoord28 matchesAFC Ajax28 matches
2.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.89 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.57 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots28/2814.8 shots/match
6.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/286.07 shots/match
54.2%Possession28/28● 56.9%
7.5 corners/match ●Corners28/284.96 corners/match
9.48 fouls/matchFouls27/2810.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFeyenoordAFC Ajax
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFeyenoord — AFC Ajax
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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