Eredivisie · 2025BUKO Stadion

SC Telstar 3–1 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Telstar won 3–1.

Shots
1318
Shots on target
88
Expected goals
1.841.34
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Telstar beat PSV Eindhoven 3–1. Recorded in this match (SC Telstar – PSV Eindhoven): shots 13–18, shots on target 8–8, expected goals 1.84–1.34, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Telstar · PSV Eindhoven17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match17.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against16.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.7%PossessionSC Telstar · PSV Eindhoven● 61.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarPSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession44.7%61.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots18 shotsSC Telstar 13 shots, PSV Eindhoven 18 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots8 shotsSC Telstar 8 shots, PSV Eindhoven 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.84 xG1.34 xGSC Telstar 1.84 xG, PSV Eindhoven 1.34 xG
  • Possession48%52%SC Telstar 48%, PSV Eindhoven 52%
  • Corners1 corner12 cornersSC Telstar 1 corner, PSV Eindhoven 12 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls4 foulsSC Telstar 5 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Soufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCedric Hatenboer · SC Telstar · 71′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKiliann Sildillia · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCedric Hatenboer · SC Telstar · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 66′ · 0.05 xG · goalRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 23′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 63′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 71′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 15′ · 0.08 xG · on targetArmando Obispo · PSV Eindhoven · 37′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 50′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKiliann Sildillia · PSV Eindhoven · 6′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 54′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 50′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKiliann Sildillia · PSV Eindhoven · 47′ · 0.15 xG · goalMyron Boadu · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.21 xG · on targetKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 74′ · 0.31 xG · goalPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.47 xG · goalSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 62′ · 0.58 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 13 shots, 8 on target, 1.81 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Patrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 45′Sem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 66′Kay Tejan · SC Telstar · 74′Kiliann Sildillia · PSV Eindhoven · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 1.81 xG · PSV Eindhoven 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Telstar
0Draws
0PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — SC Telstar · Eredivisie0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar28 matchesPSV Eindhoven28 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 2.79 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 2.07 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.96 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 7.32 shots/match
44.7%Possession28/28● 61.2%
4.96 corners/matchCorners28/28● 7.39 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2810.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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