Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeDe KuipFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFeyenoordFC Groningen
Shots10 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.64 xG/match1.46 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Marco Rente · FC Groningen · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDies Janse · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Rente · FC Groningen · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 11′ · 0.05 xG · goalAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThijs Kraaijeveld · Feyenoord · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 67′ · 0.08 xG · goalTobias van den Elshout · Feyenoord · 1′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 34′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Feyenoord · 89′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 1′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 48′ · 0.20 xG · on targetYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 13′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 86′ · 0.81 xG · goalAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 22′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Feyenoord: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.66 xG. FC Groningen: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jordan Bos · Feyenoord · 11′Ayase Ueda · Feyenoord · 22′Ayase Ueda · Feyenoord · 67′Thom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Feyenoord 1.66 xG · FC Groningen 1.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Feyenoord's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Feyenoord's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Feyenoord's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.1 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.06 corners/matchCornersFeyenoord · FC Groningen6.35 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFeyenoordFC GroningenBaseline
Corners7.06 corners/match6.35 corners/match5.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Feyenoord
0Draws
0FC Groningen
FC GroningenFeyenoord · Eredivisie01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Feyenoord favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · FC Groningen in 1 · 7 too close

2.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311.39 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.29 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/311.76 xG/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/311.35 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3116.1 shots/match
11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3111.4 shots/match
6.26 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/315.81 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/314.16 shots/match
53.6%Possessionseason · 31/3150.7%
7.06 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/316.35 corners/match
3.48 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/314.68 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3110.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3132%
87%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3177%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Feyenoord75
FC Groningen58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Feyenoord84.3
FC Groningen59.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Feyenoord82.4
FC Groningen82.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Feyenoord80.6
FC Groningen86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Feyenoord8.3
FC Groningen41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Feyenoord91.7
FC Groningen86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Feyenoord66.7
FC Groningen66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.03 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots5/517.8 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
49.4%Possession5/550.6%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.78 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.88 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots10/1016 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target10/105.3 shots/match
53.2%Possession10/1048.1%
6.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
2.1 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.39 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.29 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.76 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShots31/3116.1 shots/match
6.26 shots/matchShots on target31/315.81 shots/match
53.6%Possession31/3150.7%
7.06 corners/matchCorners31/316.35 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.5 fouls/matchFouls30/3110.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
2.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.25 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
2.2 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.77 xG/match
18.9 shots/matchShots16/1615 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on target16/166.25 shots/match
55%Possession16/1648.5%
7.94 corners/matchCorners16/165.63 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.94 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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