Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 17 May 2026, 12:30 UTCFull timeMac3Park StadionFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPEC ZwolleFeyenoord
Shots7 shots/match22 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.8 xG/match3.21 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners2 corners/match12 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Olivier Aertssen · PEC Zwolle · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSimon Graves Jensen · PEC Zwolle · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOdysseus Velanas · PEC Zwolle · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Feyenoord · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Aertssen · PEC Zwolle · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 9′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTobias van den Elshout · Feyenoord · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTobias van den Elshout · Feyenoord · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGernot Trauner · Feyenoord · 41′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 42′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTobias van den Elshout · Feyenoord · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 79′ · 0.10 xG · goalAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 87′ · 0.10 xG · goalCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 81′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGernot Trauner · Feyenoord · 55′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 23′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTobias van den Elshout · Feyenoord · 46′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGivairo Read · Feyenoord · 47′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedGivairo Read · Feyenoord · 16′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 68′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 26′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 30′ · 0.47 xG · on targetKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 34′ · 0.63 xG · on targetCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 54′ · 0.81 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.82 xG. Feyenoord: 22 shots, 8 on target, 3.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Anis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 79′Anis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 0.82 xG · Feyenoord 3.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: PEC Zwolle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Feyenoord have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

PEC Zwolle show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

PEC Zwolle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.62 shots/matchShotsPEC Zwolle · Feyenoord16.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleFeyenoordBaseline
Shots9.62 shots/match16.7 shots/match14.7 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Feyenoord have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.9%PossessionPEC Zwolle · Feyenoord53.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleFeyenoordBaseline
Possession44.9%53.1%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0PEC Zwolle
0Draws
1Feyenoord
FeyenoordPEC Zwolle · Eredivisie61

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

PEC Zwolle favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Feyenoord in 11 · 3 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/342.06 goals/match
2.09 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.29 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/331.95 xG/match
1.75 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/331.13 xG/match
9.62 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3416.7 shots/match
17.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3410.8 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/346.29 shots/match
6.21 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/343.94 shots/match
44.9%Possessionseason · 34/3453.1%
3.59 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/347.24 corners/match
6.09 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/343.35 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/339.67 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3429%
82%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3488%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

PEC Zwolle21.4
Feyenoord73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

PEC Zwolle15.1
Feyenoord83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

PEC Zwolle10.3
Feyenoord81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

PEC Zwolle2.4
Feyenoord83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

PEC Zwolle73.8
Feyenoord11.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 49%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

PEC Zwolle7.1
Feyenoord97.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

PEC Zwolle22.6
Feyenoord67.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.26 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
46.2%Possession5/546.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.95 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots10/1014.2 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.4 shots/match
46.2%Possession10/1049.4%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored34/342.06 goals/match
2.09 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.29 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals33/331.95 xG/match
9.62 shots/matchShots34/3416.7 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target34/346.29 shots/match
44.9%Possession34/3453.1%
3.59 corners/matchCorners34/347.24 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls34/339.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.82 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.24 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.73 xG/match
9.88 shots/matchShots17/1715.1 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target17/175.47 shots/match
43.3%Possession17/1752.1%
4.06 corners/matchCorners17/176.59 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls17/169.38 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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