PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard 3–2 PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard won 3–2.

Shots
128
Shots on target
43
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat PEC Zwolle 3–2. Recorded in this match (Fortuna Sittard – PEC Zwolle): shots 12–8, shots on target 4–3, possession 46%–54%, corners 6–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortuna Sittard's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsFortuna Sittard 12 shots, PEC Zwolle 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFortuna Sittard 4 shots, PEC Zwolle 3 shots
  • Possession46%54%Fortuna Sittard 46%, PEC Zwolle 54%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersFortuna Sittard 6 corners, PEC Zwolle 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsFortuna Sittard 7 fouls, PEC Zwolle 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 23′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 27′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 28′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 50′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 56′ · 0.00 xG · on targetNick Fichtinger · PEC Zwolle · 59′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRodney Kroeze · PEC Zwolle · 83′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedYassin Oukili · Fortuna Sittard · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNeraysho Kasanwirjo · Fortuna Sittard · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYassin Oukili · Fortuna Sittard · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZico Buurmeester · PEC Zwolle · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 36′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 21′ · 0.10 xG · goalKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 65′ · 0.10 xG · goalGabriel Reiziger · PEC Zwolle · 75′ · 0.10 xG · goalZico Buurmeester · PEC Zwolle · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalYassin Oukili · Fortuna Sittard · 50′ · 0.16 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fortuna Sittard: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.52 xG. PEC Zwolle: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Lance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 21′Yassin Oukili · Fortuna Sittard · 50′Kaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 65′Gabriel Reiziger · PEC Zwolle · 75′Zico Buurmeester · PEC Zwolle · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fortuna Sittard 0.52 xG · PEC Zwolle 0.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fortuna Sittard
0Draws
4PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–4
PEC Zwolle — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–1
Fortuna Sittard — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie3–1
PEC Zwolle — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · PEC Zwolle in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard33 matchesPEC Zwolle33 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.33 goals/match
1.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/332.09 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals32/321.19 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots33/339.7 shots/match
4.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.61 shots/match
44.9% ●Possession33/3344.8%
4.3 corners/match ●Corners33/333.64 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — PEC Zwolle
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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