PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Stadion de Goffert

NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

NEC Nijmegen won 2–1.

Shots
373
Shots on target
121
Expected goals
4.440.32
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

NEC Nijmegen beat Go Ahead Eagles 2–1. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles): shots 37–3, shots on target 12–1, expected goals 4.44–0.32, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Go Ahead Eagles's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

NEC Nijmegen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

NEC Nijmegen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsNEC Nijmegen · Go Ahead Eagles11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNEC NijmegenGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Shots17 shots/match11.5 shots/match14.7 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match19.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Go Ahead Eagles have a visible away split

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.35 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.35 shots/match11.5 shots/match14.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots37 shots3 shotsNEC Nijmegen 37 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 3 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots1 shotNEC Nijmegen 12 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 1 shot
  • Expected goals4.44 xG0.32 xGNEC Nijmegen 4.44 xG, Go Ahead Eagles 0.32 xG
  • Possession58%42%NEC Nijmegen 58%, Go Ahead Eagles 42%
  • Corners13 corners4 cornersNEC Nijmegen 13 corners, Go Ahead Eagles 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsNEC Nijmegen 12 fouls, Go Ahead Eagles 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanilo · NEC Nijmegen · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDarko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDeveron Fonville · NEC Nijmegen · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 72′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 49′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 17′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDanilo · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 32′ · 0.09 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 62′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 63′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 61′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBrayann Pereira · NEC Nijmegen · 46′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSøren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 55′ · 0.25 xG · goalNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 12′ · 0.29 xG · goalSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 46′ · 0.42 xG · on targetBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 22′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 27′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 27′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

NEC Nijmegen: 37 shots, 12 on target, 4.98 xG. Go Ahead Eagles: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.550′HT90′Noe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 12′Noe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 27′Søren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEC Nijmegen 4.98 xG · Go Ahead Eagles 0.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0NEC Nijmegen
2Draws
3Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–1
NEC Nijmegen — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–3
Go Ahead Eagles — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie5–0
NEC Nijmegen — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1–2
Go Ahead Eagles — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: NEC Nijmegen favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

NEC Nijmegen34 matchesGo Ahead Eagles34 matches
2.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.59 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.56 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/331.26 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots34/3411.5 shots/match
6.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/345.03 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession34/3449.5%
6.12 corners/match ●Corners34/345.44 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls33/349.15 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNEC NijmegenGo Ahead Eagles
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headNEC Nijmegen — Go Ahead Eagles
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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