PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

FC Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Groningen won 2–1.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.561.08
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Groningen beat NEC Nijmegen 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Groningen – NEC Nijmegen): shots 11–12, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.56–1.08, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NEC Nijmegen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

NEC Nijmegen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.27 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsFC Groningen 11 shots, NEC Nijmegen 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsFC Groningen 7 shots, NEC Nijmegen 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG1.08 xGFC Groningen 1.56 xG, NEC Nijmegen 1.08 xG
  • Possession50%50%FC Groningen 50%, NEC Nijmegen 50%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersFC Groningen 5 corners, NEC Nijmegen 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsFC Groningen 16 fouls, NEC Nijmegen 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 33′ · 0.00 xG · on targetNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 34′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 40′ · 0.00 xG · on targetTika de Jonge · FC Groningen · 44′ · 0.00 xG · on targetDarko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 56′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 62′ · 0.00 xG · on targetWouter Prins · FC Groningen · 74′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBrayann Pereira · NEC Nijmegen · 89′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDarko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedYoussef el Kachati · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 58′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDanilo · NEC Nijmegen · 75′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanilo · NEC Nijmegen · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarco Rente · FC Groningen · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalTygo Land · FC Groningen · 51′ · 0.10 xG · goalDarko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 76′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Groningen: 11 shots, 7 on target, 0.30 xG. NEC Nijmegen: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Marco Rente · FC Groningen · 45′Tygo Land · FC Groningen · 51′Darko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Groningen 0.30 xG · NEC Nijmegen 0.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Groningen
1Draws
3NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen — FC Groningen · Eredivisie2–0
FC Groningen — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie2–1
NEC Nijmegen — FC Groningen · Eredivisie6–0
FC Groningen — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie0–1
NEC Nijmegen — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Groningen favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · NEC Nijmegen in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Groningen33 matchesNEC Nijmegen33 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 2.27 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.58 goals/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals33/331.75 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots33/3316.4 shots/match
5.82 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 6.61 shots/match
50.9%Possession33/33● 56.6%
6.27 corners/match ●Corners33/335.91 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC GroningenNEC Nijmegen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Groningen — NEC Nijmegen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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