PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 1–4.

Shots
1124
Shots on target
410
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat Go Ahead Eagles 4–1. Recorded in this match (Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven): shots 11–24, shots on target 4–10, possession 41%–59%, corners 8–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsGo Ahead Eagles · PSV Eindhoven17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match17.7 shots/match14.7 shots/match
Shots against18.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

PSV Eindhoven's recent record differs from the season

weak

PSV Eindhoven's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.6 goals/match2.91 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Go Ahead Eagles have a visible home split

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match14.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots24 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 11 shots, PSV Eindhoven 24 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots10 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 4 shots, PSV Eindhoven 10 shots
  • Possession41%59%Go Ahead Eagles 41%, PSV Eindhoven 59%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersGo Ahead Eagles 8 corners, PSV Eindhoven 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsGo Ahead Eagles 9 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Esmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 15′ · 0.00 xG · on targetRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 17′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 36′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 55′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 66′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedEvert Linthorst · Go Ahead Eagles · 87′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedEvert Linthorst · Go Ahead Eagles · 87′ · 0.00 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSøren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFinn Stokkers · Go Ahead Eagles · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSøren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 69′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 61′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 19′ · 0.10 xG · goalRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 70′ · 0.10 xG · goalPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 82′ · 0.10 xG · goalAske Adelgaard · Go Ahead Eagles · 14′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 26′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.98 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 24 shots, 10 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 26′Ivan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 19′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 45′Ivan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 70′Paul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 0.98 xG · PSV Eindhoven 0.84 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Go Ahead Eagles
0Draws
4PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–1
Go Ahead Eagles — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie3–2
PSV Eindhoven — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie3–0
Go Ahead Eagles — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–1
PSV Eindhoven — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Go Ahead Eagles favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Go Ahead Eagles33 matchesPSV Eindhoven33 matches
1.61 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 2.91 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 2.08 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 17.7 shots/match
5.15 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 7.3 shots/match
49.8%Possession33/33● 61.1%
5.48 corners/matchCorners33/33● 7.03 corners/match
9.18 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGo Ahead EaglesPSV Eindhoven
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headGo Ahead Eagles — PSV Eindhoven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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