Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCFull timeYildiz Entegre Kocaeli StadyumuFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKocaelisporKayserispor
Shots10 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.11 xG/match0.51 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Indrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Kayserispor · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Kayserispor · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOğulcan Çağlayan · Kocaelispor · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYaw Ackah · Kayserispor · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOğulcan Çağlayan · Kocaelispor · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDorukhan Toköz · Kayserispor · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Kayserispor · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOğulcan Çağlayan · Kocaelispor · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Nonge · Kocaelispor · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Kayserispor · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 70′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 23′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 35′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 69′ · 0.24 xG · on targetBruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 90′ · 0.28 xG · goalKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 70′ · 0.30 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kocaelispor: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.31 xG. Kayserispor: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Bruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 90′László Bénes · Kayserispor · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kocaelispor 1.31 xG · Kayserispor 0.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kocaelispor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Kayserispor in 0 · 14 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/30.67 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/32 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/30.61 xG/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/31.89 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/39.67 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/314 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/32.33 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/35.67 shots/match
42.5%Possessionseason · 4/344.7%
3.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/36.67 corners/match
5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/34 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/310.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/30%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kocaelispor19.2
Kayserispor26.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kocaelispor29.5
Kayserispor16.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kocaelispor53.9
Kayserispor33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kocaelispor57.7
Kayserispor26.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kocaelispor73.1
Kayserispor3.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kocaelispor11.5
Kayserispor96.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kocaelispor40.4
Kayserispor30.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 3 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/30.67 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/32 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals4/30.61 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots4/39.67 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/32.33 shots/match
42.5%Possession4/344.7%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/36.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/310.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 3 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/30.67 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/32 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals4/30.61 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots4/39.67 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/32.33 shots/match
42.5%Possession4/344.7%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/36.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/310.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 3 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/30.67 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/32 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals4/30.61 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots4/39.67 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/32.33 shots/match
42.5%Possession4/344.7%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/36.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/310.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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