Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 24 Aug 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeKadir Has StadiumFull-time recap
04Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKayserisporGalatasaray
Shots8 shots/match19 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match9 shots/match
Expected goals0.9 xG/match3.71 xG/match
Possession34%66%
Corners6 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lucas Torreira · Galatasaray · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoão Mendes · Kayserispor · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 26′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDorukhan Toköz · Kayserispor · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 77′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedStefano Denswil · Kayserispor · 15′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 25′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEren Elmalı · Galatasaray · 46′ · 0.19 xG · goalVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 6′ · 0.20 xG · on targetYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 71′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 27′ · 0.23 xG · on targetEren Elmalı · Galatasaray · 36′ · 0.32 xG · goalGideon Jung · Kayserispor · 39′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 36′ · 0.47 xG · on targetYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 74′ · 0.58 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 86′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kayserispor: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.95 xG. Galatasaray: 19 shots, 9 on target, 3.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Eren Elmalı · Galatasaray · 36′Eren Elmalı · Galatasaray · 46′Victor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 86′Leroy Sané · Galatasaray · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kayserispor 0.95 xG · Galatasaray 3.56 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKayserisporGalatasarayBaseline
Shots20.7 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against6.33 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kayserispor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 0 · 14 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/33.33 goals/match
Goals allowedseason · 2/30 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 2/33.15 xG/match
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/30.59 xG/match
Shotsseason · 2/320.7 shots/match
Shots allowedseason · 2/36.33 shots/match
Shots on targetseason · 2/37.33 shots/match
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/32 shots/match
Possessionseason · 2/366%
Cornersseason · 2/35.67 corners/match
Corners allowedseason · 2/33.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/311.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/3100%
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kayserispor
Galatasaray92.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kayserispor
Galatasaray92.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kayserispor
Galatasaray81
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kayserispor
Galatasaray78.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kayserispor
Galatasaray35.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kayserispor
Galatasaray85.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kayserispor
Galatasaray76.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/33.33 goals/match
Goals allowed2/30 goals/match
Expected goals2/33.15 xG/match
Shots2/320.7 shots/match
Shots on target2/37.33 shots/match
Possession2/366%
Corners2/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/311.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/33.33 goals/match
Goals allowed2/30 goals/match
Expected goals2/33.15 xG/match
Shots2/320.7 shots/match
Shots on target2/37.33 shots/match
Possession2/366%
Corners2/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/311.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/33.33 goals/match
Goals allowed2/30 goals/match
Expected goals2/33.15 xG/match
Shots2/320.7 shots/match
Shots on target2/37.33 shots/match
Possession2/366%
Corners2/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 2 matches
Goals scored1/2
Goals allowed1/2
Expected goals1/2
Shots1/2
Shots on target1/2
Possession1/2
Corners1/2
Cards0/0
Fouls1/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Aug 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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