Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 24 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCFull timeAkyazı StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTrabzonsporAntalyaspor
Shots17 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2 xG/match0.76 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners5 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLautaro Giannetti · Antalyaspor · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOzan Tufan · Trabzonspor · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEdin Višća · Trabzonspor · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJakub Kałuziński · Antalyaspor · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWagner Pina · Trabzonspor · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPoyraz Efe Yıldırım · Antalyaspor · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdin Višća · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWagner Pina · Trabzonspor · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPoyraz Efe Yıldırım · Antalyaspor · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEdin Višća · Trabzonspor · 78′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 40′ · 0.25 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 17′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedGüray Vural · Antalyaspor · 49′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedStefan Savić · Trabzonspor · 38′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Trabzonspor: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.79 xG. Antalyaspor: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Stefan Savić · Trabzonspor · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Trabzonspor 1.79 xG · Antalyaspor 0.65 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Antalyaspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Antalyaspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Antalyaspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/matchShotsTrabzonspor · Antalyaspor10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTrabzonsporAntalyasporBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Trabzonspor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Antalyaspor in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.02 xG/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.28 xG/match
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/310.3 shots/match
9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/313.7 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.67 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.33 shots/match
54%Possessionseason · 3/347%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/33.67 corners/match
5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
100%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Trabzonspor78.6
Antalyaspor50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Trabzonspor50
Antalyaspor52.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Trabzonspor76.2
Antalyaspor45.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Trabzonspor21.4
Antalyaspor7.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Trabzonspor35.7
Antalyaspor35.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Trabzonspor35.7
Antalyaspor21.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Trabzonspor41.1
Antalyaspor39.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.02 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots3/310.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/34.67 shots/match
54%Possession3/347%
4 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.02 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots3/310.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/34.67 shots/match
54%Possession3/347%
4 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.02 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots3/310.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/34.67 shots/match
54%Possession3/347%
4 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match