PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Antalya Stadium

Antalyaspor 1–2 Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fatih Karagümrük won 1–2.

Shots
917
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
0.911.56
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fatih Karagümrük beat Antalyaspor 2–1. Recorded in this match (Antalyaspor – Fatih Karagümrük): shots 9–17, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 0.91–1.56, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsAntalyaspor 9 shots, Fatih Karagümrük 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsAntalyaspor 6 shots, Fatih Karagümrük 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG1.56 xGAntalyaspor 0.91 xG, Fatih Karagümrük 1.56 xG
  • Possession48%52%Antalyaspor 48%, Fatih Karagümrük 52%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersAntalyaspor 7 corners, Fatih Karagümrük 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsAntalyaspor 15 fouls, Fatih Karagümrük 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Atakan Çankaya · Fatih Karagümrük · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndre Gray · Fatih Karagümrük · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTarik Bugra Kalpakli · Fatih Karagümrük · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Giannetti · Antalyaspor · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Giannetti · Antalyaspor · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTarik Bugra Kalpakli · Fatih Karagümrük · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAtakan Çankaya · Fatih Karagümrük · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGüray Vural · Antalyaspor · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGüray Vural · Antalyaspor · 11′ · 0.05 xG · goalDaniel Johnson · Fatih Karagümrük · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMert Yilmaz · Antalyaspor · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnıl Yiğit Çınar · Fatih Karagümrük · 42′ · 0.08 xG · goalTomáš Čvančara · Antalyaspor · 34′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 79′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTomáš Čvančara · Antalyaspor · 56′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Johnson · Fatih Karagümrük · 85′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAtakan Çankaya · Fatih Karagümrük · 75′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 53′ · 0.24 xG · on targetAbdülkadir Ömür · Antalyaspor · 50′ · 0.38 xG · on targetDaniel Johnson · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Antalyaspor: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.79 xG. Fatih Karagümrük: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.57 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Güray Vural · Antalyaspor · 11′Anıl Yiğit Çınar · Fatih Karagümrük · 42′Daniel Johnson · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Antalyaspor 0.79 xG · Fatih Karagümrük 1.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Antalyaspor
0Draws
1Fatih Karagümrük
Fatih Karagümrük — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig4–1
Antalyaspor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig2–1
Fatih Karagümrük — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig0–1
Antalyaspor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig4–2
Antalyaspor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Antalyaspor favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fatih Karagümrük in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Antalyaspor4 matchesFatih Karagümrük3 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored4/30.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/32 goals/match
0.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/30.87 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots4/3▲ 11.3 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/33.33 shots/match
47.3%Possession4/3● 48.3%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners4/33.67 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAntalyasporFatih Karagümrük
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headAntalyaspor — Fatih Karagümrük
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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