Süper Lig · 2025Fri, 22 Aug 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeVefa StadiumFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFatih KaragümrükGöztepe
Shots11 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.32 xG/match1.71 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners4 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Daniel Johnson · Fatih Karagümrük · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRhaldney · Göztepe · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTarik Bugra Kalpakli · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndre Gray · Fatih Karagümrük · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJanderson · Göztepe · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÖmer Faruk Gümüş · Fatih Karagümrük · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnthony Junior Dennis · Göztepe · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Junior Dennis · Göztepe · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSerginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEfkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArda Kurtulan · Göztepe · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 65′ · 0.09 xG · goalSerginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 62′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 7′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Göztepe · 8′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJanderson · Göztepe · 51′ · 0.29 xG · on targetJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 40′ · 0.36 xG · goalArda Kurtulan · Göztepe · 27′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fatih Karagümrük: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.34 xG. Göztepe: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Junior Olaitan · Göztepe · 40′Janderson · Göztepe · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fatih Karagümrük 0.34 xG · Göztepe 1.93 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fatih Karagümrük favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Göztepe in 0 · 14 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/31.67 goals/match
Goals allowedseason · 2/30 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 2/31.09 xG/match
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/31.2 xG/match
Shotsseason · 2/315 shots/match
Shots allowedseason · 2/312 shots/match
Shots on targetseason · 2/34.33 shots/match
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/31.33 shots/match
Possessionseason · 2/339.7%
Cornersseason · 2/34.67 corners/match
Corners allowedseason · 2/34.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/319 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/3100%
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/31.67 goals/match
Goals allowed2/30 goals/match
Expected goals2/31.09 xG/match
Shots2/315 shots/match
Shots on target2/34.33 shots/match
Possession2/339.7%
Corners2/34.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/319 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/31.67 goals/match
Goals allowed2/30 goals/match
Expected goals2/31.09 xG/match
Shots2/315 shots/match
Shots on target2/34.33 shots/match
Possession2/339.7%
Corners2/34.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/319 fouls/match

Window

Season

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/31.67 goals/match
Goals allowed2/30 goals/match
Expected goals2/31.09 xG/match
Shots2/315 shots/match
Shots on target2/34.33 shots/match
Possession2/339.7%
Corners2/34.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/319 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 2 matches
Goals scored1/2
Goals allowed1/2
Expected goals1/2
Shots1/2
Shots on target1/2
Possession1/2
Corners1/2
Cards0/0
Fouls1/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Aug 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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