Süper Lig · 2025Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

Fenerbahçe 3–1 Kocaelispor · Süper Lig

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fenerbahçe won 3–1.

Shots
217
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.670.31
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fenerbahçe beat Kocaelispor 3–1. Recorded in this match (Fenerbahçe – Kocaelispor): shots 21–7, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.67–0.31, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kocaelispor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Kocaelispor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFenerbahçeKocaelisporBaseline
Shots—10.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against—15 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots7 shotsFenerbahçe 21 shots, Kocaelispor 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotFenerbahçe 7 shots, Kocaelispor 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.67 xG0.31 xGFenerbahçe 1.67 xG, Kocaelispor 0.31 xG
  • Possession57%43%Fenerbahçe 57%, Kocaelispor 43%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersFenerbahçe 6 corners, Kocaelispor 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsFenerbahçe 12 fouls, Kocaelispor 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Show · Kocaelispor · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahçe · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJhon Durán · Fenerbahçe · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNélson Semedo · Fenerbahçe · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTarkan Serbest · Kocaelispor · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTarkan Serbest · Kocaelispor · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCihat Çelik · Kocaelispor · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 34′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCan Keleş · Kocaelispor · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahçe · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedİrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Škriniar · Fenerbahçe · 5′ · 0.04 xG · goalTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMilan Škriniar · Fenerbahçe · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Mendes · Kocaelispor · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOğuz Aydın · Fenerbahçe · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJhon Durán · Fenerbahçe · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÇağlar Söyüncü · Fenerbahçe · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArchie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 22′ · 0.14 xG · goalTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 66′ · 0.20 xG · goalTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 17′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedArchie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 51′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fenerbahçe: 21 shots, 7 on target, 1.56 xG. Kocaelispor: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahçe · 5′Archie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 51′Talisca · Fenerbahçe · 66′Bruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fenerbahçe 1.56 xG · Kocaelispor 0.29 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
1 matchMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Fenerbahçe / Kocaelispor

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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