Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeRams Park StadyumuFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGalatasarayÇaykur Rizespor
Shots16 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.22 xG/match1.3 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Altin Zeqiri · Çaykur Rizespor · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaha Şahin · Çaykur Rizespor · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHusniddin Alikulov · Çaykur Rizespor · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMithat Pala · Çaykur Rizespor · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEren Elmalı · Galatasaray · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAltin Zeqiri · Çaykur Rizespor · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 58′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDavinson Sánchez · Galatasaray · 20′ · 0.10 xG · goalVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Galatasaray · 37′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 41′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedGiannis Papanikolaou · Çaykur Rizespor · 71′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDal Varešanović · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torreira · Galatasaray · 51′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMuhamed Buljubašić · Çaykur Rizespor · 73′ · 0.32 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 65′ · 0.49 xG · goalDal Varešanović · Çaykur Rizespor · 73′ · 0.49 xG · goalMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Galatasaray: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.23 xG. Çaykur Rizespor: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Davinson Sánchez · Galatasaray · 20′Victor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 65′Mauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 90′Dal Varešanović · Çaykur Rizespor · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Galatasaray 2.23 xG · Çaykur Rizespor 1.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Galatasaray have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.5 shots/matchShotsGalatasaray · Çaykur Rizespor9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayÇaykur RizesporBaseline
Shots19.5 shots/match9.67 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against7 shots/match14 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Galatasaray have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.8%PossessionGalatasaray · Çaykur Rizespor49.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayÇaykur RizesporBaseline
Possession65.8%49.3%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Galatasaray favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Çaykur Rizespor in 0 · 14 too close

3.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/30.33 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/32 goals/match
2.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/31.35 xG/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/31.23 xG/match
19.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/39.67 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/314 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/32.67 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/34 shots/match
65.8%Possessionseason · 4/349.3%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/32 corners/match
3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/34.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/310.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
75%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/333%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/333%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Galatasaray96.2
Çaykur Rizespor50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Galatasaray96.2
Çaykur Rizespor14.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Galatasaray87.2
Çaykur Rizespor46.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Galatasaray88.5
Çaykur Rizespor3.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray34.6
Çaykur Rizespor11.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray88.5
Çaykur Rizespor3.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Galatasaray78.9
Çaykur Rizespor13.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 3 matches
3.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/30.33 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/32 goals/match
2.92 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.35 xG/match
19.5 shots/matchShots4/39.67 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on target4/32.67 shots/match
65.8%Possession4/349.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/32 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/310.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 3 matches
3.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/30.33 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/32 goals/match
2.92 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.35 xG/match
19.5 shots/matchShots4/39.67 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on target4/32.67 shots/match
65.8%Possession4/349.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/32 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/310.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 3 matches
3.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/30.33 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/32 goals/match
2.92 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.35 xG/match
19.5 shots/matchShots4/39.67 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on target4/32.67 shots/match
65.8%Possession4/349.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/32 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/310.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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