Championship · 2025Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionPortsmouth
Shots13 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.59 xG/match0.94 xG/match
Possession64%36%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Florian Bianchini · Portsmouth · 40′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Murphy · Portsmouth · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZak Swanson · Portsmouth · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTom Fellows · West Bromwich Albion · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 26′ · 0.06 xG · goalColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 56′ · 0.08 xG · goalColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 88′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFlorian Bianchini · Portsmouth · 20′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.59 xG. Portsmouth: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Mikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 26′Colby Bishop · Portsmouth · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 0.59 xG · Portsmouth 0.90 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/matchShotsWest Bromwich Albion · Portsmouth12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionPortsmouthBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Portsmouth in 0 · 13 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.3 xG/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.31 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match
11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/314 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.67 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34 shots/match
52.3%Possessionseason · 3/348.3%
3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/35.33 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/33.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion56.2
Portsmouth35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion77.8
Portsmouth46.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion63.9
Portsmouth42.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion68.8
Portsmouth56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion22.9
Portsmouth41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion8.3
Portsmouth60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion46.3
Portsmouth52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Bromwich Albion3 matchesPortsmouth3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.3 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
52.3%Possession3/348.3%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Bromwich Albion2 matchesPortsmouth2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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West Bromwich Albion vs Portsmouth — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath