Championship · 2025Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeRacecourse GroundFull-time recap

Wrexham

2–2Full-time recap

Sheffield Wednesday

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Wrexham	Sheffield Wednesday
Shots	11 shots/match	21 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.3 xG/match	2.67 xG/match▲
Possession	47%	53%●
Corners	3 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Wrexham: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 21 shots, 7 on target, 2.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wrexham 1.32 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 2.72 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Sheffield Wednesday show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12 shots/match▲ShotsWrexham · Sheffield Wednesday14.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Wrexham	Sheffield Wednesday	Baseline
Shots	12 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	21.7 shots/match	16.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Wrexham favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 0 · 13 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32.33 goals/match

1.73 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.6 xG/match

3.06 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.97 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/314.3 shots/match

21.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/316.7 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35 shots/match

7.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/37.67 shots/match

41%Possessionseason · 3/3●44%

3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●6 corners/match

7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/37.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.33 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wrexham10.4

Sheffield Wednesday29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wrexham54.2

Sheffield Wednesday65.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wrexham6.9

Sheffield Wednesday6.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wrexham72.9

Sheffield Wednesday89.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wrexham14.6

Sheffield Wednesday29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wrexham18.8

Sheffield Wednesday72.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wrexham29.2

Sheffield Wednesday66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Wrexham3 matchesSheffield Wednesday3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.33 goals/match

1.73 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.6 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots3/3▲14.3 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5 shots/match

41%Possession3/3●44%

3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.33 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Wrexham2 matchesSheffield Wednesday2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4