Championship · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdaySwansea City
Shots9 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.45 xG/match1.31 xG/match
Possession36%64%
Corners2 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Cameron Burgess · Swansea City · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Key · Swansea City · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDominic Iorfa · Sheffield Wednesday · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Key · Swansea City · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOlaf Kobacki · Sheffield Wednesday · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOlaf Kobacki · Sheffield Wednesday · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 70′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRonald · Swansea City · 81′ · 0.08 xG · goalGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 17′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 15′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 50′ · 0.13 xG · goalGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 53′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 14′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.48 xG. Swansea City: 17 shots, 8 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Žan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 50′Ronald · Swansea City · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 0.48 xG · Swansea City 1.32 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Swansea City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Sheffield Wednesday show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/matchShotsSheffield Wednesday · Swansea City11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdaySwansea CityBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Swansea City have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%PossessionSheffield Wednesday · Swansea City56%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdaySwansea CityBaseline
Possession42%56%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Swansea City in 0 · 13 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.5 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.81 xG/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.4 xG/match
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411 shots/match
16.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/48 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43.75 shots/match
7.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42 shots/match
42%Possessionseason · 4/456%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/45 corners/match
7.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.75 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday14.6
Swansea City72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday45.8
Swansea City36.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday8.3
Swansea City92.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday81.2
Swansea City6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday56.2
Swansea City68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday52.1
Swansea City52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday58.3
Swansea City50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield Wednesday4 matchesSwansea City4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/41 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.5 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.81 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots4/411 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/43.75 shots/match
42%Possession4/456%
5 corners/matchCorners4/45 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/412.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield Wednesday2 matchesSwansea City2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath