Championship · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFratton ParkFull-time recap

Portsmouth

WLD

1–0Full-time recap

Preston North End

DWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Portsmouth	Preston North End
Shots	10 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.58 xG/match▲	1.01 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	6 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Portsmouth: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.52 xG. Preston North End: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portsmouth 1.52 xG · Preston North End 1.00 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Portsmouth favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Preston North End in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.75 goals/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.29 xG/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.21 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/410 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/42.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42.25 shots/match

46%●Possessionseason · 4/442.8%

5.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/44.25 corners/match

3.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portsmouth27.1

Preston North End18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portsmouth34

Preston North End17.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portsmouth54.8

Preston North End70.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portsmouth52.1

Preston North End39.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portsmouth50

Preston North End27.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portsmouth70.8

Preston North End33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portsmouth47.9

Preston North End20.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Portsmouth4 matchesPreston North End4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/41 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.75 goals/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.29 xG/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots4/410 shots/match

3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match

46%●Possession4/442.8%

5.5 corners/match●Corners4/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Portsmouth2 matchesPreston North End2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4