PitchMath
Championship · 2025Fratton Park

Portsmouth 1–0 Preston North End · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Portsmouth won 1–0.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.581.01
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Portsmouth beat Preston North End 1–0. Recorded in this match (Portsmouth – Preston North End): shots 10–13, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.58–1.01, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsPortsmouth 10 shots, Preston North End 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsPortsmouth 2 shots, Preston North End 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG1.01 xGPortsmouth 1.58 xG, Preston North End 1.01 xG
  • Possession39%61%Portsmouth 39%, Preston North End 61%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersPortsmouth 6 corners, Preston North End 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsPortsmouth 11 fouls, Preston North End 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Daniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStefán Teitur Þórðarson · Preston North End · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndre Dozzell · Portsmouth · 41′ · 0.03 xG · goalJosh Murphy · Portsmouth · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedZak Swanson · Portsmouth · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedZak Swanson · Portsmouth · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosh Murphy · Portsmouth · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosh Murphy · Portsmouth · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedStefán Teitur Þórðarson · Preston North End · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Smith · Preston North End · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichael Smith · Preston North End · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 55′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 35′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 89′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJosh Murphy · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 41′ · 0.63 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Portsmouth: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.52 xG. Preston North End: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Andre Dozzell · Portsmouth · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portsmouth 1.52 xG · Preston North End 1.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Portsmouth
0Draws
1Preston North End
Preston North End — Portsmouth · Championship2–1
Portsmouth — Preston North End · Championship3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portsmouth favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Preston North End in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portsmouth4 matchesPreston North End4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/41 goal/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.75 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.29 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/410 shots/match
3.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match
46% ●Possession4/442.8%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners4/44.25 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPortsmouthPreston North End
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headPortsmouth — Preston North End
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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