PitchMath
Championship · 2025Deepdale

Preston North End 1–0 Ipswich Town · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Preston North End won 1–0.

Shots
215
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.841.39
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Preston North End beat Ipswich Town 1–0. Recorded in this match (Preston North End – Ipswich Town): shots 2–15, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.84–1.39, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Preston North End show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Preston North End's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsPreston North End · Ipswich Town12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPreston North EndIpswich TownBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Ipswich Town have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.7%PossessionPreston North End · Ipswich Town● 57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPreston North EndIpswich TownBaseline
Possession36.7%57%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots2 shots15 shotsPreston North End 2 shots, Ipswich Town 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsPreston North End 1 shot, Ipswich Town 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.39 xGPreston North End 0.84 xG, Ipswich Town 1.39 xG
  • Possession28%72%Preston North End 28%, Ipswich Town 72%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersPreston North End 3 corners, Ipswich Town 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls5 foulsPreston North End 14 fouls, Ipswich Town 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeif Davis · Ipswich Town · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen Johnson · Ipswich Town · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Ipswich Town · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBen Johnson · Ipswich Town · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBen Johnson · Ipswich Town · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKasey McAteer · Ipswich Town · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJacob Greaves · Ipswich Town · 68′ · 0.17 xG · on targetGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 63′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 40′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedMilutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 11′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Preston North End: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.87 xG. Ipswich Town: 15 shots, 2 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Milutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 11′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Preston North End 0.87 xG · Ipswich Town 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Preston North End
0Draws
1Ipswich Town
Preston North End — Ipswich Town · Championship3–2
Ipswich Town — Preston North End · Championship4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Preston North End favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Preston North End3 matchesIpswich Town3 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31 goal/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.45 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 12 shots/match
2.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/31.33 shots/match
36.7%Possession3/3● 57%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPreston North EndIpswich Town
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headPreston North End — Ipswich Town
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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