Championship · 2025Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeDeepdaleFull-time recap

Preston North End

1–0Full-time recap

Ipswich Town

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Preston North End	Ipswich Town
Shots	2 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	2 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.84 xG/match	1.39 xG/match▲
Possession	28%	72%●
Corners	3 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Preston North End: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.87 xG. Ipswich Town: 15 shots, 2 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Preston North End 0.87 xG · Ipswich Town 1.38 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Preston North End's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Ipswich Town have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Preston North End show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Preston North End's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match▲ShotsPreston North End · Ipswich Town12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Preston North End	Ipswich Town	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	12 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	14 shots/match	8 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Ipswich Town have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.7%PossessionPreston North End · Ipswich Town●57%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Preston North End	Ipswich Town	Baseline
Possession	36.7%	57%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Preston North End

0Draws

1Ipswich Town

3 Feb 2024Preston North End — Ipswich Town · Championship3–2

7 Oct 2023Ipswich Town — Preston North End · Championship4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Preston North End favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.45 xG/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.99 xG/match

9 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/38 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/31.33 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32.33 shots/match

36.7%Possessionseason · 3/3●57%

4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●4.67 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Preston North End6.2

Ipswich Town81.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Preston North End28.5

Ipswich Town22.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Preston North End64.6

Ipswich Town75.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Preston North End43.8

Ipswich Town27.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Preston North End41.7

Ipswich Town41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Preston North End39.6

Ipswich Town54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Preston North End27.1

Ipswich Town37

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Preston North End3 matchesIpswich Town3 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.45 xG/match

9 shots/matchShots3/3▲12 shots/match

2.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/31.33 shots/match

36.7%Possession3/3●57%

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/3●4.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Preston North End2 matchesIpswich Town2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.12 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4