Championship · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timebet365 StadiumFull-time recap

Stoke City

WWW

0–1Full-time recap

West Bromwich Albion

WWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Stoke City	West Bromwich Albion
Shots	13 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.95 xG/match▲	0.66 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	5 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Stoke City: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stoke City 0.94 xG · West Bromwich Albion 0.65 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Stoke City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 0 · 13 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.75 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.2 xG/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.29 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.8 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/411.5 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42.75 shots/match

50.3%Possessionseason · 4/4●51.3%

5.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/43.75 corners/match

5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Stoke City50

West Bromwich Albion60.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Stoke City72.9

West Bromwich Albion70.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Stoke City65.3

West Bromwich Albion72.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Stoke City47.9

West Bromwich Albion68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Stoke City27.1

West Bromwich Albion27.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Stoke City70.8

West Bromwich Albion22.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Stoke City56.8

West Bromwich Albion49

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Stoke City4 matchesWest Bromwich Albion4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.75 goals/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.2 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.8 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44 shots/match

50.3%Possession4/4●51.3%

5.5 corners/match●Corners4/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Stoke City2 matchesWest Bromwich Albion2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4