Championship · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeLoftus Road StadiumFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricQueens Park RangersCharlton Athletic
Shots13 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.43 xG/match0.84 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners1 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Esquerdinha · Queens Park Rangers · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Edwards · Charlton Athletic · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEsquerdinha · Queens Park Rangers · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Fullah · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Edwards · Charlton Athletic · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Apter · Charlton Athletic · 54′ · 0.05 xG · goalTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 57′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIsaac Olaofe · Charlton Athletic · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRhys Norrington-Davies · Queens Park Rangers · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 8′ · 0.10 xG · goalKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 74′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 19′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRayan Kolli · Queens Park Rangers · 47′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLiam Morrison · Queens Park Rangers · 67′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 84′ · 0.13 xG · goalKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 7′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 27′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Queens Park Rangers: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.45 xG. Charlton Athletic: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Paul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 8′Koki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 84′Richard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 90′Robert Apter · Charlton Athletic · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Queens Park Rangers 1.45 xG · Charlton Athletic 0.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlton Athletic's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Charlton Athletic show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Charlton Athletic's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/matchShotsQueens Park Rangers · Charlton Athletic13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQueens Park RangersCharlton AthleticBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Queens Park Rangers favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Charlton Athletic in 0 · 13 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/40.5 goals/match
2.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.15 xG/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.84 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.3 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/410.8 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.25 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42.5 shots/match
51%Possessionseason · 4/446%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/46 corners/match
4.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/42.75 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Queens Park Rangers56.2
Charlton Athletic27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Queens Park Rangers49.3
Charlton Athletic47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Queens Park Rangers17.4
Charlton Athletic74.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Queens Park Rangers43.8
Charlton Athletic72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Queens Park Rangers18.8
Charlton Athletic41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Queens Park Rangers16.7
Charlton Athletic83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Queens Park Rangers29.7
Charlton Athletic65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Queens Park Rangers4 matchesCharlton Athletic4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.5 goals/match
2.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.15 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots4/413.3 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/44.25 shots/match
51%Possession4/446%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/46 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Queens Park Rangers2 matchesCharlton Athletic2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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