Championship · 2025Fri, 19 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeRiversideFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMiddlesbroughWest Bromwich Albion
Shots9 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.96 xG/match0.89 xG/match
Possession41%59%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls3 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ousmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSverre Nypan · Middlesbrough · 57′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJed Wallace · West Bromwich Albion · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Silvera · Middlesbrough · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSverre Nypan · Middlesbrough · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSverre Nypan · Middlesbrough · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 60′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJed Wallace · West Bromwich Albion · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 76′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 21′ · 0.19 xG · on targetNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 1′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMamadou Kaly Sene · Middlesbrough · 61′ · 0.24 xG · goalDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 26′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Middlesbrough: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′David Strelec · Middlesbrough · 26′Mamadou Kaly Sene · Middlesbrough · 61′Aune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Middlesbrough 0.97 xG · West Bromwich Albion 0.91 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Middlesbrough show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/matchShotsMiddlesbrough · West Bromwich Albion14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMiddlesbroughWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match14.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match9.83 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Middlesbrough favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 3 · 4 too close

1.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/61.17 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.14 xG/match
0.66 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.07 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/614.7 shots/match
9.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/69.83 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/63.83 shots/match
1.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/62.67 shots/match
49.8%Possessionseason · 6/655.3%
5.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.83 corners/match
4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/63.67 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.17 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/69.33 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Middlesbrough56.2
West Bromwich Albion68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Middlesbrough63.2
West Bromwich Albion59
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Middlesbrough89.6
West Bromwich Albion68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Middlesbrough27.1
West Bromwich Albion64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Middlesbrough18.8
West Bromwich Albion22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Middlesbrough64.6
West Bromwich Albion52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Middlesbrough45.8
West Bromwich Albion54.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.13 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots5/515 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
49%Possession5/557.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.14 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots6/614.7 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/63.83 shots/match
49.8%Possession6/655.3%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/64.83 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.17 fouls/matchFouls6/69.33 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.14 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots6/614.7 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/63.83 shots/match
49.8%Possession6/655.3%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/64.83 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.17 fouls/matchFouls6/69.33 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.31 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots3/314.7 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
47.3%Possession3/352%
4.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
7.67 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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