Championship · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeKing Power StadiumFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeicester CityCoventry City
Shots17 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.22 xG/match0.41 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners10 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 62′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHarry Winks · Leicester City · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatt Grimes · Coventry City · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan van Ewijk · Coventry City · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Leicester City · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 48′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPatson Daka · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 1′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 16′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHaji Wright · Coventry City · 57′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pereira · Leicester City · 40′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJordan James · Leicester City · 67′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJulián Carranza · Leicester City · 73′ · 0.16 xG · on targetStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 57′ · 0.33 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 17 shots, 9 on target, 1.21 xG. Coventry City: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 1.21 xG · Coventry City 0.63 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersLeicester City · Coventry City6.83 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityCoventry CityBaseline
Corners6 corners/match6.83 corners/match4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Coventry City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/matchShotsLeicester City · Coventry City18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityCoventry CityBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match18.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Leicester City have a visible home split

weak

Leicester City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Coventry City in 6 · 5 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/62.5 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61.17 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.97 xG/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/60.83 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/618.5 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/610.8 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/65.67 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/63.5 shots/match
56.5%Possessionseason · 6/655.3%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/66.83 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/64 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
8.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City81.2
Coventry City70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City68.1
Coventry City97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City55.5
Coventry City61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City31.2
Coventry City93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City12.5
Coventry City47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City81.2
Coventry City93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City59.9
Coventry City84.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/53 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.07 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots5/518.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/56.2 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/554.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.5 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.97 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots6/618.5 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target6/65.67 shots/match
56.5%Possession6/655.3%
6 corners/matchCorners6/66.83 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.67 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.5 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.97 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots6/618.5 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target6/65.67 shots/match
56.5%Possession6/655.3%
6 corners/matchCorners6/66.83 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.67 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/32.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.8 xG/match
16.3 shots/matchShots3/315.3 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target3/36.33 shots/match
59.7%Possession3/352.3%
8 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.33 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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