Championship · 2025Fri, 26 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionLeicester City
Shots11 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.64 xG/match0.94 xG/match
Possession41%59%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match16 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Leicester City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leicester City have a visible away split

weak

Leicester City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Leicester City in 4 · 4 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/71.29 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/70.86 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.07 xG/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.39 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/712.9 shots/match
10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/713.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/74.86 shots/match
2.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/73.57 shots/match
53.3%Possessionseason · 7/756.9%
4.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75.57 corners/match
3.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/75.57 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.86 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/79.71 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/743%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion68.8
Leicester City85.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion59
Leicester City64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion74.3
Leicester City50.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion56.2
Leicester City31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion27.1
Leicester City22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion43.8
Leicester City81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion52.1
Leicester City61.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.81 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots5/59.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
56%Possession5/552.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.29 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/70.86 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.07 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots7/712.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/74.86 shots/match
53.3%Possession7/756.9%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/75.57 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.86 fouls/matchFouls7/79.71 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.29 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/70.86 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.07 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots7/712.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/74.86 shots/match
53.3%Possession7/756.9%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/75.57 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.86 fouls/matchFouls7/79.71 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.25 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.8 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots4/410.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/42.5 shots/match
54.3%Possession4/454.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.31 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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