PitchMath
Championship · 2025Carrow Road

Norwich City 0–1 West Bromwich Albion · Championship

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

West Bromwich Albion won 0–1.

Shots
165
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.390.89
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Bromwich Albion beat Norwich City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – West Bromwich Albion): shots 16–5, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.39–0.89, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Norwich City have a visible home split

weak

Norwich City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsNorwich City · West Bromwich Albion13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNorwich CityWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match11 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots5 shotsNorwich City 16 shots, West Bromwich Albion 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotNorwich City 5 shots, West Bromwich Albion 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.39 xG0.89 xGNorwich City 1.39 xG, West Bromwich Albion 0.89 xG
  • Possession59%41%Norwich City 59%, West Bromwich Albion 41%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersNorwich City 4 corners, West Bromwich Albion 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsNorwich City 8 fouls, West Bromwich Albion 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

George Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucien Mahovo · Norwich City · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosé Córdoba · Norwich City · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatěj Jurásek · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHarry Darling · Norwich City · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Darling · Norwich City · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMatěj Jurásek · Norwich City · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 20′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJosé Córdoba · Norwich City · 84′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJovon Makama · Norwich City · 83′ · 0.20 xG · on targetHarry Darling · Norwich City · 29′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 20′ · 0.35 xG · goalAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 89′ · 0.45 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.65 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Josh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 1.65 xG · West Bromwich Albion 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Norwich City
1Draws
2West Bromwich Albion
Norwich City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–0
West Bromwich Albion — Norwich City · Championship2–2
Norwich City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–0
West Bromwich Albion — Norwich City · Championship1–0
West Bromwich Albion — Norwich City · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City8 matchesWest Bromwich Albion8 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.17 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target8/83.63 shots/match
51.6%Possession8/8● 51.8%
3.63 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.38 corners/match
8.25 fouls/matchFouls8/89.75 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNorwich CityWest Bromwich Albion
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headNorwich City — West Bromwich Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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