Championship · 2025Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeCarrow RoadFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNorwich CityWest Bromwich Albion
Shots16 shots/match5 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.39 xG/match0.89 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

George Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucien Mahovo · Norwich City · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosé Córdoba · Norwich City · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatěj Jurásek · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHarry Darling · Norwich City · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Darling · Norwich City · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMatěj Jurásek · Norwich City · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 20′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJosé Córdoba · Norwich City · 84′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJovon Makama · Norwich City · 83′ · 0.20 xG · on targetHarry Darling · Norwich City · 29′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 20′ · 0.35 xG · goalAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 89′ · 0.45 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.65 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Josh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 1.65 xG · West Bromwich Albion 0.98 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Norwich City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Norwich City have a visible home split

weak

Norwich City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/matchShotsNorwich City · West Bromwich Albion13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNorwich CityWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match11 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Norwich City favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 7 · 5 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81.13 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/80.88 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.17 xG/match
1.88 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.1 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/813 shots/match
15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/811 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/83.63 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/82.75 shots/match
51.6%Possessionseason · 8/851.8%
3.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/84.38 corners/match
6.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/83.63 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
8.25 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/89.75 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/838%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/888%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Norwich City64.6
West Bromwich Albion68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Norwich City45.8
West Bromwich Albion45.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Norwich City29.2
West Bromwich Albion77.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Norwich City35.4
West Bromwich Albion43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Norwich City2.1
West Bromwich Albion14.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Norwich City16.7
West Bromwich Albion35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Norwich City24
West Bromwich Albion36.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.05 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
50.6%Possession5/551.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
7.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/80.88 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.17 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots8/813 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target8/83.63 shots/match
51.6%Possession8/851.8%
3.63 corners/matchCorners8/84.38 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.25 fouls/matchFouls8/89.75 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/80.88 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.17 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots8/813 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target8/83.63 shots/match
51.6%Possession8/851.8%
3.63 corners/matchCorners8/84.38 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.25 fouls/matchFouls8/89.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.2 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots4/412.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/43 shots/match
59.8%Possession4/449.3%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/44 corners/match
Cards0/0
7.5 fouls/matchFouls4/48.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.99 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match