Championship · 2025The Den

Millwall 3–0 West Bromwich Albion · Championship

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Millwall won 3–0.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.770.42
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millwall beat West Bromwich Albion 3–0. Recorded in this match (Millwall – West Bromwich Albion): shots 11–10, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.77–0.42, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Millwall, West Bromwich Albion.

2.8 days ▲Rest daysMillwall · West Bromwich Albion2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMillwallWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days2.8 days2.8 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsMillwall 11 shots, West Bromwich Albion 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotMillwall 4 shots, West Bromwich Albion 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.77 xG0.42 xGMillwall 0.77 xG, West Bromwich Albion 0.42 xG
  • Possession39%61%Millwall 39%, West Bromwich Albion 61%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersMillwall 4 corners, West Bromwich Albion 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls8 foulsMillwall 17 fouls, West Bromwich Albion 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thierno Ballo · Millwall · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAidomo Emakhu · Millwall · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThierno Ballo · Millwall · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFemi Azeez · Millwall · 56′ · 0.02 xG · goalOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMassimo Luongo · Millwall · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBilly Mitchell · Millwall · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Coburn · Millwall · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZak Sturge · Millwall · 72′ · 0.07 xG · goalAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedZak Sturge · Millwall · 23′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJake Cooper · Millwall · 18′ · 0.16 xG · goalJake Cooper · Millwall · 10′ · 0.25 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Millwall: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.78 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jake Cooper · Millwall · 18′Femi Azeez · Millwall · 56′Zak Sturge · Millwall · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Millwall 0.78 xG · West Bromwich Albion 0.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Millwall
5Draws
0West Bromwich Albion
Millwall — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–1
West Bromwich Albion — Millwall · Championship0–0
Millwall — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–1
West Bromwich Albion — Millwall · Championship0–0
West Bromwich Albion — Millwall · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millwall favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millwall9 matchesWest Bromwich Albion9 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored9/91 goal/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.09 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots9/912.7 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 3.33 shots/match
47.2%Possession9/9● 52.8%
4.89 corners/match ●Corners9/94.44 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls9/99.56 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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