Championship · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeSwansea.com StadiumFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSwansea CityLeicester City
Shots13 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals1.84 xG/match1.65 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners2 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Josh Tymon · Swansea City · 27′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBen Cabango · Swansea City · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 60′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordan James · Leicester City · 13′ · 0.02 xG · goalJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Cabango · Swansea City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAaron Ramsey · Leicester City · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 77′ · 0.03 xG · goalAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJeremy Monga · Leicester City · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLiam Cullen · Swansea City · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Monga · Leicester City · 54′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 33′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 35′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Leicester City · 64′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJulián Carranza · Leicester City · 88′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCameron Burgess · Swansea City · 57′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJannik Vestergaard · Leicester City · 85′ · 0.27 xG · goalŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 56′ · 0.29 xG · on targetCameron Burgess · Swansea City · 49′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedJulián Carranza · Leicester City · 88′ · 0.32 xG · on targetAdam Idah · Swansea City · 70′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Swansea City: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.84 xG. Leicester City: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Adam Idah · Swansea City · 70′Jordan James · Leicester City · 13′Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 77′Jannik Vestergaard · Leicester City · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Swansea City 1.84 xG · Leicester City 1.65 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Swansea City, Leicester City. A second useful context is: Leicester City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Swansea City, Leicester City.

3.8 daysRest daysSwansea City · Leicester City3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSwansea CityLeicester CityBaseline
Rest days3.8 days3.8 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Leicester City have a visible away split

moderate

Leicester City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Swansea City favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Leicester City in 8 · 5 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/91.44 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/90.89 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.14 xG/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.38 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/913.7 shots/match
12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/912.8 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/94.67 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/93.67 shots/match
56.3%Possessionseason · 9/956.8%
4.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95.67 corners/match
4.89 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/94.67 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/99.78 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/933%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/989%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Swansea City85.4
Leicester City89.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Swansea City32.6
Leicester City78.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Swansea City50.7
Leicester City55.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Swansea City2.1
Leicester City39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Swansea City47.9
Leicester City25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Swansea City33.3
Leicester City79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Swansea City35.4
Leicester City66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.14 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
56.6%Possession5/555.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.44 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/90.89 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.14 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots9/913.7 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/94.67 shots/match
56.3%Possession9/956.8%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/95.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFouls9/99.78 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.44 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/90.89 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.14 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots9/913.7 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/94.67 shots/match
56.3%Possession9/956.8%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/95.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFouls9/99.78 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.97 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
59.6%Possession5/552.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match